Rocksolid Light

Welcome to novaBBS (click a section below)

mail  files  register  newsreader  groups  login

Message-ID:  

Always draw your curves, then plot your reading.


aus+uk / uk.sci.weather / [CC] Monitoring "progress" to 2050 : CO2

SubjectAuthor
o [CC] Monitoring "progress" to 2050 : CO2N_Cook

1
[CC] Monitoring "progress" to 2050 : CO2

<u5ni9u$p0ie$1@dont-email.me>

  copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/aus+uk/article-flat.php?id=11309&group=uk.sci.weather#11309

  copy link   Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Path: i2pn2.org!i2pn.org!eternal-september.org!news.eternal-september.org!.POSTED!not-for-mail
From: dive...@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: [CC] Monitoring "progress" to 2050 : CO2
Date: Tue, 06 Jun 2023 16:11:13 +0100
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 62
Message-ID: <u5ni9u$p0ie$1@dont-email.me>
MIME-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Injection-Date: Tue, 6 Jun 2023 15:10:55 -0000 (UTC)
Injection-Info: dont-email.me; posting-host="38d7c3374abeb52c59dbd48750bfbb75";
logging-data="819790"; mail-complaints-to="abuse@eternal-september.org"; posting-account="U2FsdGVkX18y7IqxNAkusFFV6AJ2Lvxt"
User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 6.1; rv:15.0) Gecko/20120907 Thunderbird/15.0.1
Cancel-Lock: sha1:cmOtPN8UON5z0MfF3Xoke95IubE=
 by: N_Cook - Tue, 6 Jun 2023 15:11 UTC

First sign in CO2 data of moving into El Nino phase of ENSO cycle.
For Mauna Loa data output 05 June 2023 at
https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2_trend_mlo.png

Using the off-line javascript curve-fitter at statpages.info
Of curve types , linear=no acceleration, exponential=increasing
acceleration, quadratic=fixed acceleration, indicial= falling
acceleration; indicial was best fit by R^2 factor again, but only
marginally over the quadratic form.

then adding yearly sine component,
y= a + b*x^c +d*sin(e*x+f)*(1+g*x)

where x is year minus 2000 for start year of 2003 to
avoid the decade of post-Pinatubo geodata recovery, 6
figures retained for anyone else repeating/checking this exercise

For Jun 2023 output
a= 371.055795
b= 1.123455
c= 1.204723
d= 3.059985
e= 6.271954
f= 6.338174
g= -0.003418

For May 2023 output
a= 371.020792
b= 1.132800
c= 1.202123
d= 3.076753
e= 6.272629
f= 6.331449
g= -0.003920

To 2050 , ignoring the sine component,for Jun 2023 output= 496.18 ppm (
+0.27 ) the first positive increment sice mid 2022.

previous history for the sine form of indicial curve type

To 2050, for May 2023 output =495.91 ppm (-0.10)
To 2050, for Apr 2023 output =496.01 ppm (-0.80)
To 2050, for Mar 2023 output =496.81 ppm (-0.79)
To 2050, for Feb 2023 output =497.60 ppm (-0.67)
To 2050, for Jan 2023 output =498.27 ppm (-0.28)
To 2050, for Dec 2022 output =498.55 ppm (-0.27)
To 2050, for Nov output =498.82 ppm ( -0.49)
To 2050 ,for Oct output=499.31 ppm (-0.32)
To 2050 ,for Sept output=499.63 ppm (-0.04)
To 2050 , for August output= 499.67 ppm (+0.20)
July 2022 output data , to 2050 , 499.47 ppm (+0.04)
June 2022 output data , to 2050 , 498.43 ppm (+0.15)
May 2022 output To 2050 , 498.28 ppm (-0.39)
April output to 2050, 498.67 ppm (-0.83)
March output to 2050, 499.5 ppm (-0.20)
Feb output was 499.7 (-15.55)
Jan 2022 output was 515.25

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

1
server_pubkey.txt

rocksolid light 0.9.81
clearnet tor