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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Re: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them all

SubjectAuthor
* Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them allTimothy Chow
+- Rollout: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them allTimothy Chow
`- Re: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them allah...Clem

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Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them all

<ti15r7$qmcc$2@dont-email.me>

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them all
Date: Mon, 10 Oct 2022 09:14:14 -0400
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 by: Timothy Chow - Mon, 10 Oct 2022 13:14 UTC

XGID=---aBBBABA-AcB---cbcAc--A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O O | | O O |
| O | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X X X X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 143 O: 129 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 42

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them all

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them all
Date: Wed, 12 Oct 2022 08:42:42 -0400
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 by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 12 Oct 2022 12:42 UTC

XGID=---aBBBABA-AcB---cbcAc--A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O O | | O O |
| O | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X X X X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 143 O: 129 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 42

I made the golden point and a solid five-prime with 24/20 9/7. What's
not to like? Well, O's straggler is at the edge of the five-prime.
The alternative, 24/20 11/9, leaves a direct shot but threatens to make
a six-prime. XG says it's well worth the risk. If O fails to hit right
away, then X has a strong cube.

If O already owned the cube, then XG would still favor 11/9 over 9/7,
but by a smaller margin.

1. Rollout¹ 24/20 11/9 eq:+0.507
Player: 61.76% (G:14.49% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 38.24% (G:6.79% B:0.22%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (+0.493..+0.522) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/20 9/7 eq:+0.389 (-0.118)
Player: 60.01% (G:13.17% B:0.32%)
Opponent: 39.99% (G:4.96% B:0.19%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (+0.375..+0.404) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

Re: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them all

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From: ah_c...@ymail.com (ah...Clem)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Re: Lots of good things you can do, but you can't do them all
Date: Sat, 15 Oct 2022 15:03:48 -0400
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 by: ah...Clem - Sat, 15 Oct 2022 19:03 UTC

On 10/10/2022 9:14 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:
> XGID=---aBBBABA-AcB---cbcAc--A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:0:10
>
> Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
>  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
>  | X           O  O |   | O  X  O        X |
>  | X           O  O |   | O     O          |
>  |             O    |   | O     O          |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  |                  |BAR|                  |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  | O                |   |                  |
>  | O           X    |   | X  X  X          |
>  | O  X     X  X  X |   | X  X  X  O       |
>  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count  X: 143  O: 129 X-O: 0-0
> Cube: 1
> X to play 42

Making the GP and the bar point seems obvious. Maybe the aggressive
11/9 7/3* is better, but the other play leaves a position that looks
more "pretty". I'll do that.

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