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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Holding game with straggler

SubjectAuthor
* Holding game with stragglerTimothy Chow
+- Rollout: Holding game with stragglerTimothy Chow
`- Re: Holding game with stragglerah...Clem

1
Holding game with straggler

<tkpb27$18r38$4@dont-email.me>

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Holding game with straggler
Date: Sat, 12 Nov 2022 18:43:03 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Sat, 12 Nov 2022 23:43 UTC

XGID=---aBBDCb---cC-A-a-d--bb--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X O | | O O O | +---+
| X | | O O O | | 2 |
| X | | O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O O X | | X X X |
| O O X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 117 O: 137 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 32

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Holding game with straggler

<tktkcf$1pbd3$1@dont-email.me>

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Holding game with straggler
Date: Mon, 14 Nov 2022 09:46:39 -0500
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 by: Timothy Chow - Mon, 14 Nov 2022 14:46 UTC

XGID=---aBBDCb---cC-A-a-d--bb--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X O | | O O O | +---+
| X | | O O O | | 2 |
| X | | O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O O X | | X X X |
| O O X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 117 O: 137 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 32

I succumbed to the temptation to hit here, but XG says that the
win/gammon tradeoff isn't worth it.

1. Rollout¹ 15/13 7/4 eq:+0.506
Player: 75.08% (G:9.49% B:0.18%)
Opponent: 24.92% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.500..+0.512) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 15/13 6/3* eq:+0.427 (-0.079)
Player: 68.77% (G:22.97% B:0.58%)
Opponent: 31.23% (G:6.87% B:0.17%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.420..+0.435) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 7/5 6/3* eq:+0.402 (-0.104)
Player: 67.74% (G:25.59% B:0.85%)
Opponent: 32.26% (G:9.24% B:0.26%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.394..+0.411) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

Re: Holding game with straggler

<tl0mvn$247d7$1@dont-email.me>

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From: ah_c...@ymail.com (ah...Clem)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Re: Holding game with straggler
Date: Tue, 15 Nov 2022 13:48:50 -0500
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 by: ah...Clem - Tue, 15 Nov 2022 18:48 UTC

On 11/12/2022 6:43 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:
> XGID=---aBBDCb---cC-A-a-d--bb--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
>
> Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
>  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
>  | X     X     O    |   | O        O  O    | +---+
>  | X                |   | O        O  O    | | 2 |
>  | X                |   | O                | +---+
>  |                  |   | O                |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  |                  |BAR|                  |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  |                  |   | X                |
>  | O              X |   | X                |
>  | O           O  X |   | X  X  X          |
>  | O           O  X |   | X  X  X  O       |
>  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count  X: 117  O: 137 X-O: 0-0
> Cube: 2, O own cube
> X to play 32

For some reason, my version of Thunderbird is not picking up new
messages unless I restart it. Hence falling behind in the threads.

O's board is poor and X's is good, so I'll hit loose. Should win more
gammons than a safe play. Then, I'll safety the blot on the 15, although
if I'm being aggressive playing 7/5 for more covers seems thematic. But
I'll stick with 15/13.

15/13 6/3*

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