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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Spy vs. spy 2

SubjectAuthor
* Spy vs. spy 2Timothy Chow
`- Rollout: Spy vs. spy 2Timothy Chow

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Spy vs. spy 2

<trb5m3$3qura$2@dont-email.me>

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Spy vs. spy 2
Date: Tue, 31 Jan 2023 08:39:15 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Tue, 31 Jan 2023 13:39 UTC

XGID=--aa-BCBB-AAbB---accb-b-B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 153 O: 134 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 52

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Spy vs. spy 2

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Spy vs. spy 2
Date: Thu, 2 Feb 2023 09:27:49 -0500
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 by: Timothy Chow - Thu, 2 Feb 2023 14:27 UTC

XGID=--aa-BCBB-AAbB---accb-b-B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 153 O: 134 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 52

This is not a good roll for improving X's prime. On the other hand,
O is poised to improve her prime. Many of her rolls are excellent;
combinations of 2's, 3's, and 4's make her 4pt, 5's make her 8pt,
6's jump out. Hitting gains an important tempo. There's some chance
it could also lead to a successful attack, but I would say that the
main virtue of hitting is to take away half of O's roll.

1. Rollout¹ 10/3* eq:-0.262
Player: 44.93% (G:14.18% B:0.76%)
Opponent: 55.07% (G:21.95% B:2.21%)
Confidence: ±0.018 (-0.280..-0.244) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 11/4 eq:-0.368 (-0.106)
Player: 43.34% (G:11.59% B:0.63%)
Opponent: 56.66% (G:24.79% B:2.82%)
Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.385..-0.351) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/8 eq:-0.426 (-0.164)
Player: 40.35% (G:11.19% B:0.58%)
Opponent: 59.65% (G:21.48% B:1.50%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.440..-0.411) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 11/6 10/8 eq:-0.429 (-0.167)
Player: 40.15% (G:12.03% B:0.57%)
Opponent: 59.85% (G:21.26% B:1.39%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.444..-0.414) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

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