On Tuesday, October 19, 2021 at 12:06:53 PM UTC-4, a322x1n wrote:
> <https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/this-is-how-many-lives-covid-va
> ccines-have-saved-say-experts/ar-AAPHv6s?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531>
>
> <https://tinyurl.com/4adwuudh>
>
> This is How Many Lives COVID Vaccines Have Saved, Say Experts.
> Sumedha Gupta, 4 hrs ago.
>
> More than 200 million U.S. residents have gotten at least one shot of a
> COVID-19 vaccine with the expectation that the vaccines slow virus
> transmission and save lives.
>
> Researchers know the efficacy of the vaccines from large-scale clinical
> trials, the gold standard for medical research. The studies found the
> vaccines to be very effective at preventing severe COVID–19 and
> especially good at preventing death. But it's important to track any new
> treatment in the real world as the population-level benefits of vaccines
> could differ from the efficacy found in clinical trials.
>
> For instance, some people in the U.S. have only been getting the first
> shot of a two-shot vaccine and are therefore less protected than a fully
> vaccinated person. Alternatively, vaccinated people are much less likely
> to transmit COVID-19 to others, including those who are not vaccinated.
> This could make vaccines more effective at a population level than in
> the clinical trials.
>
> I am a health economist, and my team and I have been studying the
> effects of public policy interventions like vaccination have had on the
> pandemic. We wanted to know how many lives vaccines may have saved due
> to the states' COVID-19 vaccination campaigns in the U.S.
>
> RELATED: These People are at Risk of COVID, Like Colin Powell
>
> Building an accurate model
> In March 2021, when weekly data on state COVID-19 vaccinations started
> to become reliably available from state agencies, my team began to
> analyze the association between state vaccination rates and the
> subsequent COVID-19 cases and deaths in each state. Our goal was to
> build a model that was accurate enough to measure the effect of
> vaccination within the complicated web of factors that influence
> COVID–19 deaths.
>
> To do this, our model compares COVID-19 incidence in states with high
> vaccination rates against states with low vaccination rates. As part of
> the analysis, we controlled for things that influence the spread of the
> coronavirus, like state–by–state differences in weather and population
> density, seasonally driven changes in social behavior and
> non-pharmaceutical interventions like stay-at-home orders, mask mandates
> and overnight business closures. We also accounted for the fact that
> there is a delay between when a person is first vaccinated and when
> their immune system has built up protection.
>
> RELATED: These 5 States Have "Out of Control" COVID
>
> Vaccines saved lives:
> To check the strength of our model before playing with variables, we
> first compared reported deaths with an estimate that our model produced.
>
> When we fed it all of the information available – including vaccination
> rates – the model calculated that by May 9, 2021, there should have been
> 569,193 COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. The reported death count by that
> date was 578,862, less than a 2% difference from our model's prediction.
>
> Equipped with our well-working statistical model, we were then able to
> "turn off" the vaccination effect and see how much of a difference
> vaccines made.
>
> Using near real-time data of state vaccination rates, coronavirus cases
> and deaths in our model, we found that in the absence of vaccines,
> 708,586 people would have died by May 9, 2021. We then compared that to
> our model estimate of deaths with vaccines: 569,193. The difference
> between those two numbers is just under 140,000. Our model suggests that
> vaccines saved 140,000 lives by May 9, 2021.
>
> Our study only looked at the few months just after vaccination began.
> Even in that short time frame, COVID-19 vaccinations saved many
> thousands of lives despite vaccination rates still being fairly low in
> several states by the end of our study period. I can say with certainty
> that vaccines have since then saved many more lives – and will continue
> to do so as long as the coronavirus is still around.
>
> This article is republished from The Conversation

..From Garland Nixon
The vaccines are useless.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8481107/