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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Re: Gravy

SubjectAuthor
* GravyRobert Zimmerman
+- Re: GravyTimothy Chow
`- Re: GravyRobert Zimmerman

1
Gravy

<1b05d6cb-afbc-45ec-ad0d-0355b3a9d544n@googlegroups.com>

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Subject: Gravy
From: zimbrook...@gmail.com (Robert Zimmerman)
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 by: Robert Zimmerman - Tue, 14 Mar 2023 23:02 UTC

XGID=-a---BF-B---cEa-aa-bbbb---:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:5:10

Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| X | | |
| X | | |
| X | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | 6 |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 127 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 63

Re: Gravy

<tushsr$t6ja$3@dont-email.me>

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Re: Gravy
Date: Wed, 15 Mar 2023 09:40:42 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 15 Mar 2023 13:40 UTC

On 3/14/2023 7:02 PM, Robert Zimmerman wrote:
> XGID=-a---BF-B---cEa-aa-bbbb---:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:5:10
>
> Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
> +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> | X O O O | | O O O O |
> | X | | O O O O |
> | X | | |
> | X | | |
> | X | | |
> | |BAR| |
> | | | 6 |
> | | | X |
> | O | | X |
> | O X | | X X |
> | O X | | X X O |
> +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count X: 127 O: 127 X-O: 0-0/5
> Cube: 1
> X to play 63

The only plays I would consider seriously here are 13/4 and
13/10 13/7. 13/10 13/7 leaves slightly more shots but it has
a much bigger upside if we're missed; after 13/4, even if we're
missed, we might have trouble covering, and some of our sixes
are still bad. I would play 13/10 13/7.

---
Tim Chow

Re: Gravy

<5dd2a8ac-b652-4035-b877-ba3827652cfcn@googlegroups.com>

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Subject: Re: Gravy
From: zimbrook...@gmail.com (Robert Zimmerman)
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 by: Robert Zimmerman - Thu, 16 Mar 2023 13:04 UTC

What Tim said.
I got spooked by the prospect of two blots going to O's prison.

Bob

XGID=-a---BF-B---cEa-aa-bbbb---:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:5:10

Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| X | | |
| X | | |
| X | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | 6 |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 127 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 63

1. Rollout¹ 13/10 13/7 eq:-0.229
Player: 44.80% (G:4.59% B:0.16%)
Opponent: 55.20% (G:18.54% B:0.37%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.236..-0.221) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 16 seconds

2. Rollout¹ 13/4 eq:-0.266 (-0.037)
Player: 43.76% (G:4.71% B:0.15%)
Opponent: 56.24% (G:16.32% B:0.25%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.274..-0.258) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 56 seconds

3. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:-0.297 (-0.068)
Player: 42.27% (G:4.42% B:0.20%)
Opponent: 57.73% (G:18.37% B:0.36%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.306..-0.287) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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