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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Something's got to give

SubjectAuthor
* Something's got to giveTimothy Chow
`- Rollout: Something's got to giveTimothy Chow

1
Something's got to give

<ujl53s$1cc8s$2@dont-email.me>

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https://www.novabbs.com/interests/article-flat.php?id=13132&group=rec.games.backgammon#13132

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Path: i2pn2.org!i2pn.org!eternal-september.org!feeder3.eternal-september.org!news.eternal-september.org!.POSTED!not-for-mail
From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Something's got to give
Date: Wed, 22 Nov 2023 10:01:16 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 22 Nov 2023 15:01 UTC

XGID=-DBCBB------a-----Badcacb-:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| O | | X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 71 O: 62 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Something's got to give

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Something's got to give
Date: Fri, 24 Nov 2023 16:23:46 -0500
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 by: Timothy Chow - Fri, 24 Nov 2023 21:23 UTC

XGID=-DBCBB------a-----Badcacb-:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| O | | X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 71 O: 62 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21

O's blotty board and our racing deficit point to a play that maximizes
contact.

1. Rollout¹ 18/17 3/1 eq:-0.454
Player: 25.20% (G:2.20% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 74.80% (G:4.48% B:0.04%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.457..-0.452) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11.0 seconds

2. Rollout¹ 18/16 3/2 eq:-0.516 (-0.062)
Player: 22.78% (G:1.63% B:0.04%)
Opponent: 77.22% (G:5.25% B:0.06%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.520..-0.513) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.6 seconds

3. Rollout¹ 18/17 18/16 eq:-0.519 (-0.064)
Player: 22.15% (G:2.16% B:0.05%)
Opponent: 77.85% (G:3.62% B:0.04%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.521..-0.516) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9.5 seconds

4. Rollout¹ 5/4 5/3 eq:-0.536 (-0.082)
Player: 20.19% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 79.81% (G:0.45% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.539..-0.533) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.7 seconds

5. Rollout¹ 18/15 eq:-0.552 (-0.098)
Player: 21.09% (G:1.38% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 78.91% (G:4.07% B:0.07%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.555..-0.549) - [0.0%]

6. Rollout¹ 5/2 eq:-0.561 (-0.107)
Player: 19.31% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 80.69% (G:1.05% B:0.02%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.565..-0.558) - [0.0%]

7. Rollout¹ 4/3 4/2 eq:-0.564 (-0.110)
Player: 18.90% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 81.10% (G:0.37% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.567..-0.561) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---------
Variant 1
---------

XGID=-DBCBB------a-----B-ddacb-:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| O | | X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 71 O: 60 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21

1. Rollout¹ 5/4 5/3 eq:-0.569
Player: 18.74% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 81.26% (G:0.47% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.572..-0.566) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 18/17 3/1 eq:-0.593 (-0.024)
Player: 19.54% (G:0.60% B:0.01%)
Opponent: 80.46% (G:5.54% B:0.04%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.596..-0.590) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---------
Variant 2
---------

XGID=-DBBCB------a-----Badcacb-:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| O | | X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 72 O: 62 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21

1. Rollout¹ 18/17 4/2 eq:-0.454
Player: 25.21% (G:2.47% B:0.04%)
Opponent: 74.79% (G:4.46% B:0.04%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.457..-0.451) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 4/1 eq:-0.499 (-0.046)
Player: 21.49% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 78.51% (G:0.23% B:0.01%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.502..-0.497) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 18/16 4/3 eq:-0.524 (-0.070)
Player: 22.53% (G:1.60% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 77.47% (G:5.27% B:0.07%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.527..-0.521) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 18/17 18/16 eq:-0.526 (-0.073)
Player: 21.87% (G:2.18% B:0.05%)
Opponent: 78.13% (G:3.66% B:0.04%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.529..-0.523) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

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