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interests / rec.games.backgammon / A position with no rollout

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* A position with no rolloutpeps...@gmail.com
`- Re: A position with no rolloutpeps...@gmail.com

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A position with no rollout

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Subject: A position with no rollout
From: pepste...@gmail.com (peps...@gmail.com)
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 by: peps...@gmail.com - Sun, 21 Jan 2024 02:14 UTC

I won't say that I considered my decision a coin toss but my
confidence level was only around 55 to 60%. I certainly felt
the decision was marginal.
I was completely right about the marginality but chose the
wrong side of the border -- my take was very slightly wrong.

Paul

XGID=--CCBBBa----a---Ac-bcA-cbA:2:-1:-1:00:5:5:0:11:10

X:XG Roller+ O:Daniel
Score is X:5 O:5 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| X | | X X | +---+
| X | | X X X X | | 4 |
| O X | | X X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 90 O: 107 X-O: 5-5/11
Cube: 4, X own cube
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 80.39% (G:30.15% B:1.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.61% (G:2.02% B:0.06%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.796, Double=+1.016

Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.958 (-0.042)
Redouble/Take: +1.016 (+0.016)
Redouble/Pass: +1.000

Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Re: A position with no rollout

<03cebd4a-8fa4-45d5-8e92-1a31d57c05edn@googlegroups.com>

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Date: Sat, 20 Jan 2024 18:17:32 -0800 (PST)
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Subject: Re: A position with no rollout
From: pepste...@gmail.com (peps...@gmail.com)
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 by: peps...@gmail.com - Sun, 21 Jan 2024 02:17 UTC

On Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 2:14:17 AM UTC, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
> I won't say that I considered my decision a coin toss but my
> confidence level was only around 55 to 60%. I certainly felt
> the decision was marginal.
> I was completely right about the marginality but chose the
> wrong side of the border -- my take was very slightly wrong.
>
> Paul
>
> XGID=--CCBBBa----a---Ac-bcA-cbA:2:-1:-1:00:5:5:0:11:10
>
> X:XG Roller+ O:Daniel
> Score is X:5 O:5 11 pt.(s) match.
> +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> | X X | | O O O O O |
> | | | O O O O O |
> | | | O O |
> | | | |
> | | | |
> | |BAR| |
> | | O | |
> | | | |
> | X | | X X | +---+
> | X | | X X X X | | 4 |
> | O X | | X X O X X | +---+
> +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count X: 90 O: 107 X-O: 5-5/11
> Cube: 4, X own cube
> X on roll, cube action
>
>
> Analyzed in XG Roller+
> Player Winning Chances: 80.39% (G:30.15% B:1.00%)
> Opponent Winning Chances: 19.61% (G:2.02% B:0.06%)
>
> Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.796, Double=+1.016
>
> Cubeful Equities:
> No redouble: +0.958 (-0.042)
> Redouble/Take: +1.016 (+0.016)
> Redouble/Pass: +1.000
>
> Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
>
> eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

BTW, this take was my only cube error in this game (but not my only cube error in the match [which I won]).

Paul

interests / rec.games.backgammon / A position with no rollout

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