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Deliberately entering a losing race

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Date: Mon, 22 Jan 2024 06:34:40 -0800 (PST)
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Subject: Deliberately entering a losing race
From: pepste...@gmail.com (peps...@gmail.com)
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by: peps...@gmail.com - Mon, 22 Jan 2024 14:34 UTC

Here, I played correctly to break contact and run, leaving myself
at a huge pips deficit. Why?
Because winning by getting and hitting a shot is even less likely.
Also, a big sacrifice in pips is required to maintain contact.
7.5% wins isn't hopeless by any means.
Don't avoid a play just because it leaves you in a mess.
The alternatives might create worse messes.

Paul

XGID=-ABCBCB---A--------cdAbbc-:1:1:1:64:4:7:0:11:10

X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:4 O:7 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O X O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| X | | X X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 80 O: 51 X-O: 4-7/11
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 64

1. 4-ply 21/15 10/6 eq:-0.817
Player: 7.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 92.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

2. 4-ply 21/11 eq:-0.819 (-0.002)
Player: 7.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 92.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

3. 4-ply 21/17 10/4 eq:-0.826 (-0.009)
Player: 7.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 92.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

4. 4-ply 21/15 6/2 eq:-0.858 (-0.041)
Player: 5.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 94.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

5. 4-ply 10/4 5/1 eq:-0.876 (-0.059)
Player: 5.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 94.59% (G:0.68% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Don't hate yourself in the morning -- sleep till noon.

interests / rec.games.backgammon / Deliberately entering a losing race

interests / rec.games.backgammon / Deliberately entering a losing race

Subject	Author
Deliberately entering a losing race	peps...@gmail.com