Technobarbarian wrote:
>
>     This is a nice statement of the obvious. I'm posting it here for
> the oblivious.
>
> "The conventional wisdom has Donald Trump as either the man to beat
> for the Republican nomination or at least headed for a drawn-out fight
> to the finish with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. But could Trump flame
> out and not even make it to the Iowa caucuses?
>
> It’s not as far-fetched as you might think. In fact, it’s not
> far-fetched at all.
>
> Trump has severe strategic problems and polling problems, not to
> mention his legal difficulties. They all add up to a very rough
> trajectory over the next several months. Everyone knows Trump hates to
> lose. When faced with losing, he either claims he was cheated, or quits.
>
> A year from now, Trump might be far enough behind DeSantis that
> quitting will be the only way to avoid losing.

Works for me.

> Bad numbers getting worse
> Trump’s polling has been soft for more than a year, with the
> percentage of Republicans who want him to run consistently falling 20
> points or more below his approval ratings. He has found it difficult
> to score above 50 percent on ballot tests against Republicans who
> aren’t even running yet.
>
> And those numbers are getting worse."
> [snip]
>
> https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/3743701-trump-may-not-make-it-to-the-primaries/
>

--
bill
Theory don't mean squat if it don't work.