Time to wake up and smell the cordite. Like shockwaves from an exploding
missile, Vladimir Putin’s war on Europe’s edge is rapidly rolling
westwards, blasting its way through the front doors of homes, businesses
and workplaces from Berlin to Birmingham. Its fallout seeds a toxic rain
of instability, hardship and fear.

The idea the Ukraine conflict could be confined to Ukraine – Nato’s
politically convenient grand delusion – and that western sanctions and
arms supplies would stop the Russians was always a nonsense. Now, enraged
by Kyiv’s stubborn resistance and hell-bent on punishing his punishers,
Putin’s aim is the immiseration of Europe.

By weaponising energy, food, refugees and information, Russia’s leader
spreads the economic and political pain, creating wartime conditions for
all. A long, cold, calamity-filled European winter of power shortages and
turmoil looms. And like a coin-fed gas meter, the price of western
leaders’ timidity and shortsightedness ticks upwards by the hour..

Russia’s destabilisation operations, social media manipulation,
cyber-attacks, diplomatic double-talk, nuclear blackmail, plus its
unrelenting slaughter of civilians in Ukraine, will only intensify
Europe’s state of siege in the months ahead. The west’s fanciful belief it
could avoid continent-wide escalation is evaporating fast.

Though not entirely due to Putin’s war, Europe now faces fundamental
challenges as big or bigger than the 2008 financial crash, Brexit, or the
pandemic. Yet many EU and UK politicians skulk in denial. If, as
predicted, the gas stops flowing and the lights dim, it will not just be a
matter of closed factories, lost jobs, and depressed markets.

Freezing pensioners, hungry children, empty supermarket shelves,
unaffordable cost of living increases, devalued wages, strikes and street
protests point to Sri Lanka-style meltdowns. An exaggeration? Not really..
Blowback, fanned by the Putin-admiring far right, is already gathering
strength in Greece and Italy, the Netherlands and Spain.

In prospect, too, is a shattering of EU solidarity as national governments
compete for scarce resources. Brussels is due to publish a “winter
preparedness plan” this week. But its provisions are unclear and
unenforceable. The broader context is lack of an agreed, implemented
EU-wide energy policy.

Despite bilateral cooperation pledges, a total Russian cut-off could pit
country against country, further inflate prices, and split the anti-Moscow
coalition. In such a scenario Putin would demand sanctions relief in
return for resumed supplies, just as he has over blockaded Black Sea grain.

Import-dependent Germany is already taking unilateral steps, seeking
alternative oil and gas suppliers. A national emergency moved closer after
Moscow turned off the Nord Stream I pipeline last Monday. Many in Berlin
fear (and some environmentalists hope) the shutdown – and any subsequent
rationing – may become permanent.

Robert Habeck, Germany’s vice-chancellor, fretted publicly about a
“political nightmare”. Bruno Le Maire, France’s finance minister, sounded
similarly panicky last week. He predicted an imminent gas cut-off. Waxing
Napoleonic, he urged European countries to form up in “order of battle”.
But as in 1812, Russia has “General Winter”.

As if the mounting misery of millions were not daunting enough, then
consider, too, the war’s knock-on impact on efforts to combat the climate
and biodiversity crises. In the UK and elsewhere, net zero targets appear
at increasing risk of being abandoned.

Because Europe faces “very, very strong conflict and strife” this winter
over energy prices, it should make a short-term return to fossil fuels,
Frans Timmermans, the European commission’s vice-president, suggested.
Once again, Germany is showing a lead, increasing electricity production
from coal-fired power stations. Once again, the west looks to tyrannical
Gulf oil sheikhs for salvation.

A European winter of chaos may also strain US ties. By comparison,
America’s post-pandemic recovery is more advanced, its economy more
resilient, its energy costs much lower. Yet it is US president Joe Biden’s
too-cautious leadership of Nato that has led Europe into this geopolitical
cul-de-sac, even as a weakening euro slides below one dollar.

For Europeans, as they are re-learning to their cost, all wars are local..
For Americans, as ever, all wars are foreign.

The sanctions, economic aid, and other non-military measures preferred by
Biden were never going to be enough to bring Putin to heel. Some observers
suspect a stalemate that slowly bleeds Russia suits US purposes, whatever
the collateral damage. Yet right now, it’s Putin who is bleeding Europe.
Sanctions are backfiring or poorly enforced. His energy coffers bulge. And
Ukrainians aside, the pain is disproportionately felt by less wealthy
European and developing countries. As instability grows, US-Europe
divergence will feed pressure to change course.

The obvious escape route is a land-for-peace deal with Putin, agreed over
Ukraine’s dead bodies. This kind of shoddy sellout has influential
advocates. If (and it’s a big “if”), Russia returned to business as
normal, it would alleviate Europe’s suffering – though probably not
Ukraine’s.

Yet such a deal would also be a precedent-setting disaster for future
peace and security across the continent and globally, too. Just think
Taiwan. Or Estonia. It would destroy the sovereign integrity of democratic
Ukraine.

Fortunately, there is an alternative: using Nato’s overwhelming power to
decisively turn the military tide.

As previously argued here, direct, targeted, forceful western action to
repulse Russia’s repulsive horde is not a vote for a third world war. It’s
the only feasible way to bring this escalating horror to a swift
conclusion while ensuring Putin, and those who might emulate him, do not
profit from lawless butchery.

Intent on inflicting maximum disruption, Putin openly menaces the
heartlands of European democracy. The writing is on the wall and may no
longer be ignored. Enough of the half-measures and the dithering! Nato
should act now to force Putin’s marauding troops back inside Russia’s
recognised borders.

It’s not only Ukraine that requires saving. It’s Europe, too.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jul/17/putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe-there-is-only-one-way-to-stop-him

Led Zeppelin - Battle of Evermore
https://youtu.be/UUmd6lujmuE

On Thursday, August 11, 2022 at 12:15:15 PM UTC-5, LowRider44M wrote:
> Led Zeppelin - Battle of Evermore
> https://youtu.be/UUmd6lujmuE

The Roger Waters Bit
Didn't realize he lost his dad in WW2
https://rumble.com/v1fa0yr-video-roger-waters-exposes-the-truth-about-war-in-ukraine.html