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interests / rec.games.backgammon / 3-away/7-away cube action

SubjectAuthor
* 3-away/7-away cube actionTimothy Chow
`* Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube actionTimothy Chow
 `* Re: Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube actionJ R
  `- Re: Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube actionTimothy Chow

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3-away/7-away cube action

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: 3-away/7-away cube action
Date: Tue, 10 Aug 2021 09:06:04 -0400
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 by: Timothy Chow - Tue, 10 Aug 2021 13:06 UTC

XGID=-cBBBCB-----dC---cAd-a----:0:0:1:00:4:0:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:4 O:0 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| O | | |
| O | | X O |
| O | | X X X X X O |
| O | | X X X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 102 O: 176 X-O: 4-0/7
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube action

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube action
Date: Thu, 12 Aug 2021 23:28:34 -0400
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 by: Timothy Chow - Fri, 13 Aug 2021 03:28 UTC

XGID=-cBBBCB-----dC---cAd-a----:0:0:1:00:4:0:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:4 O:0 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| O | | |
| O | | X O |
| O | | X X X X X O |
| O | | X X X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 102 O: 176 X-O: 4-0/7
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

This position is difficult to assess. XGR++ passes this cube,
but the rollout verdict is ND/T.

Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 76.43% (G:36.96% B:4.93%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.57% (G:1.44% B:0.05%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.30% (G:38.92% B:15.49%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.70% (G:1.54% B:0.13%)

Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.949
Double/Take: +0.906 (-0.042)
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.051)

Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 31.1%

Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.942..+0.955)
Confidence Double: ± 0.019 (+0.888..+0.925)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Jacobs & Trice

---
Tim Chow

Re: Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube action

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Subject: Re: Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube action
From: jacob.r...@gmail.com (J R)
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 by: J R - Thu, 19 Aug 2021 10:06 UTC

On Thursday, August 12, 2021 at 11:28:36 PM UTC-4, Tim Chow wrote:
> XGID=-cBBBCB-----dC---cAd-a----:0:0:1:00:4:0:0:7:10
>
> X:Player 1 O:Player 2
> Score is X:4 O:0 7 pt.(s) match.
> +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> | X O X | | O O |
> | X O | | O |
> | X O | | O |
> | | | O |
> | | | |
> | |BAR| |
> | | | |
> | O | | |
> | O | | X O |
> | O | | X X X X X O |
> | O | | X X X X X O |
> +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count X: 102 O: 176 X-O: 4-0/7
> Cube: 1
> X on roll, cube action
> This position is difficult to assess. XGR++ passes this cube,
> but the rollout verdict is ND/T.
>
> Analyzed in Rollout
> No double
> Player Winning Chances: 76.43% (G:36.96% B:4.93%)
> Opponent Winning Chances: 23.57% (G:1.44% B:0.05%)
> Double/Take
> Player Winning Chances: 74.30% (G:38.92% B:15.49%)
> Opponent Winning Chances: 25.70% (G:1.54% B:0.13%)
>
> Cubeful Equities:
> No double: +0.949
> Double/Take: +0.906 (-0.042)
> Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.051)
>
> Best Cube action: No double / Take
> Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 31.1%
>
> Rollout:
> 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
> Dice Seed: 271828
> Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
> Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.942..+0.955)
> Confidence Double: ± 0.019 (+0.888..+0.925)
>
> eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Jacobs & Trice
>
> ---
> Tim Chow

It's a pass. Your computer probably projectile vomited or something.

Stick

Re: Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube action

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Re: Rollout: 3-away/7-away cube action
Date: Thu, 19 Aug 2021 08:40:25 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Thu, 19 Aug 2021 12:40 UTC

On 8/19/2021 6:06 AM, J R wrote:
> On Thursday, August 12, 2021 at 11:28:36 PM UTC-4, Tim Chow wrote:
>> eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Jacobs & Trice
>>
>> ---
>> Tim Chow
>
> It's a pass. Your computer probably projectile vomited or something.
>
> Stick

Ah, good catch...thanks. I was trying to help badgolferman diagnose
his MET problem and somehow I ended up leaving myself with the
Jacobs & Trice MET loaded.

---
Tim Chow

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