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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Rollout: Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2

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* Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2Timothy Chow
`- Rollout: Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2Timothy Chow

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Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2

<stomgp$mau$1@dont-email.me>

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Path: i2pn2.org!i2pn.org!eternal-september.org!reader02.eternal-september.org!.POSTED!not-for-mail
From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2
Date: Sun, 6 Feb 2022 09:38:17 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Sun, 6 Feb 2022 14:38 UTC

XGID=-CDaB-D------------bbcbbc-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X |
| | | X X X X |
| | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 43 O: 69 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 63

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2
Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 08:33:17 -0500
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 by: Timothy Chow - Tue, 8 Feb 2022 13:33 UTC

XGID=-CDaB-D------------bbcbbc-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X |
| | | X X X X |
| | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 43 O: 69 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 63

Gammons are negligible here. Either 6/3* or 4/1 leaves the same
number of immediate return shots, but 6/3* is more likely to give
O further chances of hitting a shot. For example, if O dances,
X may not be able to clean up the blot. Note that if O rolls
something like 64 62 44, then we would prefer that she be forced
to run rather than stick around.

1. Rollout¹ 6/Off 4/1 eq:+0.296
Player: 67.73% (G:0.48% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 32.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+0.295..+0.298) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 6/3* 6/Off eq:+0.228 (-0.068)
Player: 65.82% (G:1.16% B:0.01%)
Opponent: 34.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+0.226..+0.229) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow


interests / rec.games.backgammon / Rollout: Bearoff: forced to leave a shot 2

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