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interests / rec.games.backgammon / It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.

SubjectAuthor
* It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.peps...@gmail.com
+- Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.Timothy Chow
`* Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.Stick Rice
 `- Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.peps...@gmail.com

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It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.

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Subject: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.
From: pepste...@gmail.com (peps...@gmail.com)
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 by: peps...@gmail.com - Fri, 11 Feb 2022 21:19 UTC

XGID=--aaBBBB------b-acbbDabB-A:0:0:1:00:3:6:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon

Score is X:3 O:6. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O O | | O X O O X |
| O O O | | O X O X |
| O | | X |
| | | X |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X X X |
| X | | X X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 195 O: 136 X-O: 3-6
Cube: 1
X on roll, do you prefer X or O?

Do you prefer X or O here?
To clarify, I am talking about whether you prefer X's or O's position.
I'm not talking about the merits or demerits of being a bot, as
opposed to being me.

Paul

Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.
Date: Sat, 12 Feb 2022 12:12:29 -0500
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 by: Timothy Chow - Sat, 12 Feb 2022 17:12 UTC

On 2/11/2022 4:19 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
> XGID=--aaBBBB------b-acbbDabB-A:0:0:1:00:3:6:3:0:10
> X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon
>
> Score is X:3 O:6. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
> +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> | O O O O | | O X O O X |
> | O O O | | O X O X |
> | O | | X |
> | | | X |
> | | X | |
> | |BAR| |
> | | | |
> | | | |
> | | | |
> | X | | X X X |
> | X | | X X X O O |
> +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count X: 195 O: 136 X-O: 3-6
> Cube: 1
> X on roll, do you prefer X or O?

X's side is certainly more fun to play. I also think that X is an
equity favorite. Both sides are in some danger of crunching but I
think X's solid four-prime is stronger than O's prime, and O's
checkers on her 3pt are misplaced.

---
Tim Chow

Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.

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Subject: Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.
From: bananabo...@gmail.com (Stick Rice)
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 by: Stick Rice - Sun, 13 Feb 2022 00:59 UTC

On Friday, February 11, 2022 at 4:19:15 PM UTC-5, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
> XGID=--aaBBBB------b-acbbDabB-A:0:0:1:00:3:6:3:0:10
> X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon
>
> Score is X:3 O:6. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
> +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> | O O O O | | O X O O X |
> | O O O | | O X O X |
> | O | | X |
> | | | X |
> | | X | |
> | |BAR| |
> | | | |
> | | | |
> | | | |
> | X | | X X X |
> | X | | X X X O O |
> +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count X: 195 O: 136 X-O: 3-6
> Cube: 1
> X on roll, do you prefer X or O?
>
> Do you prefer X or O here?
> To clarify, I am talking about whether you prefer X's or O's position.
> I'm not talking about the merits or demerits of being a bot, as
> opposed to being me.
>
> Paul

O, clearly.

Stick

Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.

<a08d5c04-19e7-4c73-962d-16bf8e2c1258n@googlegroups.com>

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Subject: Re: It's a prop, Jim, but not as we know it.
From: pepste...@gmail.com (peps...@gmail.com)
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 by: peps...@gmail.com - Sun, 13 Feb 2022 11:13 UTC

On Sunday, February 13, 2022 at 12:59:38 AM UTC, Stick Rice wrote:
> On Friday, February 11, 2022 at 4:19:15 PM UTC-5, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
> > XGID=--aaBBBB------b-acbbDabB-A:0:0:1:00:3:6:3:0:10
> > X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon
> >
> > Score is X:3 O:6. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
> > +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> > | O O O O | | O X O O X |
> > | O O O | | O X O X |
> > | O | | X |
> > | | | X |
> > | | X | |
> > | |BAR| |
> > | | | |
> > | | | |
> > | | | |
> > | X | | X X X |
> > | X | | X X X O O |
> > +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> > Pip count X: 195 O: 136 X-O: 3-6
> > Cube: 1
> > X on roll, do you prefer X or O?
> >
> > Do you prefer X or O here?
> > To clarify, I am talking about whether you prefer X's or O's position.
> > I'm not talking about the merits or demerits of being a bot, as
> > opposed to being me.
> >
> > Paul
> O, clearly.
>
> Stick
I'll give you 66.7% on this one, Stick.
Yes, O is a favourite by approx 0.16 according to a rollout (which I didn't keep I'm afraid).
Yes, 0.16 is a clear margin -- it isn't close.
However, another interpretation of "clearly" is "obviously".
But this wasn't obvious to Tim or me -- I also (wrongly) thought that X was an equity favourite.
I guess it's a matter of experience -- knowing the ways each side wins or loses or gets gammoned,
and figuring out what happens overall.
With a lot of skill in this position, it might make a good prop against a non-expert if the non-expert is
invited to pick their own side -- they might well also pick X and give you 0.16 equity upfront.
If they pick O, play just one game. If they pick X, invite them to play again and again until they
show a preference for O.

Paul

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