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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Rollout: Pay now, pay how?

Pay now, pay how?

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Pay now, pay how?
Date: Mon, 21 Feb 2022 08:30:57 -0500
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by: Timothy Chow - Mon, 21 Feb 2022 13:30 UTC

XGID=-a--BbD-B---bG---b-dc-a---:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O |
| X O | | O O |
| X | | O O |
| X | | O |
| 7 | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O X | | X O X |
| O X | | X O X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 139 O: 148 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 65

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Pay now, pay how?

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
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Subject: Rollout: Pay now, pay how?
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by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 23 Feb 2022 13:25 UTC

XGID=-a--BbD-B---bG---b-dc-a---:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10

O's weak board allows X to play more purely than he would otherwise.

1. Rollout¹ 13/8 13/7 eq:+0.065
Player: 53.61% (G:8.06% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 46.39% (G:13.94% B:0.29%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (+0.051..+0.078) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/2 eq:+0.007 (-0.057)
Player: 52.05% (G:7.50% B:0.33%)
Opponent: 47.95% (G:15.32% B:0.32%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.005..+0.019) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 13/7 6/1* eq:+0.001 (-0.063)
Player: 52.21% (G:7.39% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 47.79% (G:15.77% B:0.38%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.012..+0.015) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

Subject	Author
Pay now, pay how?	Timothy Chow
Rollout: Pay now, pay how?	Timothy Chow