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Which hit?

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Which hit?
Date: Tue, 1 Mar 2022 08:37:42 -0500
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by: Timothy Chow - Tue, 1 Mar 2022 13:37 UTC

XGID=-b----E-DA-acCA-ac-e----A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X O O | | O X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X O |
| O O X X | | X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 148 O: 164 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 62

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Which hit?

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Which hit?
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by: Timothy Chow - Thu, 3 Mar 2022 13:02 UTC

XGID=-b----E-DA-acCA-ac-e----A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

24/16* gives O a whole lot more return shots than 14/8 13/11*, but
14/8 13/11* hits the less juicy blot and leaves an ugly distribution.

1. Rollout¹ 24/16* eq:+0.422
Player: 59.23% (G:18.95% B:1.57%)
Opponent: 40.77% (G:10.69% B:0.48%)
Confidence: ±0.018 (+0.404..+0.439) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 14/8 13/11* eq:+0.332 (-0.089)
Player: 56.94% (G:20.47% B:1.83%)
Opponent: 43.06% (G:11.41% B:0.48%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (+0.313..+0.351) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

Just remember, wherever you go, there you are. -- Buckaroo Bonzai

interests / rec.games.backgammon / Which hit?

Subject	Author
Which hit?	Timothy Chow
Rollout: Which hit?	Timothy Chow