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Hit?

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Hit?
Date: Wed, 13 Apr 2022 08:58:43 -0400
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by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 13 Apr 2022 12:58 UTC

XGID=-a-a--E-D-AAeB---b-bb-b-AA:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 158 O: 155 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 54

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Hit?

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Hit?
Date: Sat, 16 Apr 2022 11:31:04 -0400
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by: Timothy Chow - Sat, 16 Apr 2022 15:31 UTC

XGID=-a-a--E-D-AAeB---b-bb-b-AA:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

X is outboarded and lacks structure. I believe it was Joe Sylvester who
said, "When defending, make defensive moves." Here, XG says that
anything other than the ugly-looking play 11/6 is a whopper or worse.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/21 11/6 eq:-0.586
Player: 35.69% (G:8.92% B:0.39%)
Opponent: 64.31% (G:22.05% B:1.33%)
Confidence: ±0.018 (-0.604..-0.568) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/16 eq:-0.703 (-0.117)
Player: 35.45% (G:8.32% B:0.39%)
Opponent: 64.55% (G:26.52% B:1.96%)
Confidence: ±0.018 (-0.720..-0.685) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ Bar/21 6/1* eq:-0.711 (-0.126)
Player: 35.12% (G:8.62% B:0.34%)
Opponent: 64.88% (G:25.70% B:2.59%)
Confidence: ±0.022 (-0.733..-0.690) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ Bar/21 8/3* eq:-0.740 (-0.154)
Player: 35.26% (G:9.03% B:0.46%)
Opponent: 64.74% (G:27.08% B:3.32%)
Confidence: ±0.021 (-0.761..-0.719) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

It was a brave man that ate the first oyster.

interests / rec.games.backgammon / Rollout: Hit?

Subject	Author
Hit?	Timothy Chow
Rollout: Hit?	Timothy Chow