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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Rollout: Run?

SubjectAuthor
* Run?Timothy Chow
`- Rollout: Run?Timothy Chow

1
Run?

<t43gl6$asm$2@dont-email.me>

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Path: i2pn2.org!i2pn.org!eternal-september.org!reader02.eternal-september.org!.POSTED!not-for-mail
From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Run?
Date: Sun, 24 Apr 2022 08:43:17 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Sun, 24 Apr 2022 12:43 UTC

XGID=--ABcBDBB---a------bbbcbB-:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O X |
| | | O O O O O X |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X O | +---+
| X X | | X X O X | | 2 |
| O X X | | X X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 120 O: 119 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 65

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Run?

<t4be8o$ls3$2@dont-email.me>

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Run?
Date: Wed, 27 Apr 2022 08:51:35 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 27 Apr 2022 12:51 UTC

XGID=--ABcBDBB---a------bbbcbB-:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O X |
| | | O O O O O X |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X O | +---+
| X X | | X X O X | | 2 |
| O X X | | X X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 120 O: 119 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 65

I played 24/13 here. Maybe someone can explain to me the difference
between this position and the variant below.

1. Rollout¹ 24/18 6/1 eq:-0.436
Player: 33.50% (G:8.67% B:0.28%)
Opponent: 66.50% (G:30.70% B:1.29%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.445..-0.428) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds

2. Rollout¹ 24/13 eq:-0.507 (-0.071)
Player: 30.39% (G:7.09% B:0.26%)
Opponent: 69.61% (G:29.10% B:0.89%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.515..-0.499) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 7/2 7/1 eq:-0.640 (-0.204)
Player: 23.60% (G:5.13% B:0.11%)
Opponent: 76.40% (G:23.46% B:0.81%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.645..-0.634) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 8/3 8/2 eq:-0.655 (-0.219)
Player: 22.72% (G:4.76% B:0.13%)
Opponent: 77.28% (G:22.38% B:0.73%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.662..-0.648) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=--ABcBDBB---a------bbcbbB-:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O X |
| | | O O O O O X |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X O | +---+
| X X | | X X O X | | 2 |
| O X X | | X X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 120 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 65

1. Rollout¹ 24/13 eq:-0.500
Player: 30.65% (G:6.74% B:0.26%)
Opponent: 69.35% (G:28.23% B:0.85%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.508..-0.492) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/18 6/1 eq:-0.551 (-0.051)
Player: 30.37% (G:7.69% B:0.24%)
Opponent: 69.63% (G:33.80% B:1.47%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.561..-0.542) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

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