novaBBS - rec.games.backgammon - Rollout: Containment cube action

Containment cube action

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Containment cube action
Date: Wed, 4 May 2022 10:05:20 -0400
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by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 4 May 2022 14:05 UTC

XGID=--aBBBC-B--ab----c-eB-bBa-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O X O X O |
| O | | O X O X |
| O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X X X X |
| O O X | | X X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 144 O: 124 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Containment cube action

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Containment cube action
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by: Timothy Chow - Fri, 6 May 2022 13:18 UTC

XGID=--aBBBC-B--ab----c-eB-bBa-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

X has a powerful containment formation with great gammon chances,
but he is still 20 pips down with a somewhat disconnected position.
I thought this was a take, but XG says it's a big pass. O's blots
on her 1pt and 14pt are seriously liabilities.

Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 69.01% (G:35.87% B:1.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.99% (G:8.71% B:0.37%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.20% (G:36.10% B:1.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.80% (G:8.71% B:0.38%)

Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.813 (-0.187)
Double/Take: +1.094 (+0.094)
Double/Pass: +1.000

Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.013 (+0.800..+0.825)
Confidence Double: ± 0.019 (+1.075..+1.113)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

Your good nature will bring unbounded happiness.

interests / rec.games.backgammon / Rollout: Containment cube action

Subject	Author
Containment cube action	Timothy Chow
Rollout: Containment cube action	Timothy Chow