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interests / rec.games.backgammon / Which hit? 2

Which hit? 2

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Which hit? 2
Date: Sun, 10 Jul 2022 22:43:15 -0400
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by: Timothy Chow - Mon, 11 Jul 2022 02:43 UTC

XGID=-aaBBbC-A--BbC-a-c-c-Ab-A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X O X X |
| O X X | | X O X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 146 O: 171 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 64

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: Which hit? 2

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: Which hit? 2
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by: Timothy Chow - Wed, 13 Jul 2022 13:35 UTC

XGID=-aaBBbC-A--BbC-a-c-c-Ab-A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

In most positions, hitting a blot in the opponent's outfield is better
than PoH on the 2pt, but here, O's game gets a lot better if she can
anchor on X's 2pt. Losing more pips is less of a concern.

1. Rollout¹ 8/2* 6/2 eq:+0.767
Player: 64.90% (G:30.56% B:2.09%)
Opponent: 35.10% (G:7.55% B:0.30%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.756..+0.779) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 21/15* 15/11 eq:+0.622 (-0.145)
Player: 61.60% (G:25.36% B:1.22%)
Opponent: 38.40% (G:8.09% B:0.33%)
Confidence: ±0.018 (+0.604..+0.640) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 21/15* 6/2* eq:+0.616 (-0.151)
Player: 61.73% (G:27.03% B:1.74%)
Opponent: 38.27% (G:9.04% B:0.51%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.601..+0.632) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

Subject	Author
Which hit? 2	Timothy Chow
Rollout: Which hit? 2	Timothy Chow