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interests / rec.games.backgammon / 4-away/4-away cube action

SubjectAuthor
* 4-away/4-away cube actionTimothy Chow
+* Re: 4-away/4-away cube actionah...Clem
|+* Re: 4-away/4-away cube actionatila...@gmail.com
||`- Re: 4-away/4-away cube actionTimothy Chow
|`- Re: 4-away/4-away cube actionStick Rice
`- Rollout: 4-away/4-away cube actionTimothy Chow

1
4-away/4-away cube action

<tbu0gp$32ter$2@dont-email.me>

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: 4-away/4-away cube action
Date: Thu, 28 Jul 2022 08:47:18 -0400
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 by: Timothy Chow - Thu, 28 Jul 2022 12:47 UTC

XGID=aB-BaBB--AA-dC---b-cb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | |
| O | | X X X X |
| O X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 136 O: 148 X-O: 3-3/7
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

---
Tim Chow

Re: 4-away/4-away cube action

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From: ah_c...@ymail.com (ah...Clem)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Re: 4-away/4-away cube action
Date: Thu, 28 Jul 2022 17:12:04 -0400
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 by: ah...Clem - Thu, 28 Jul 2022 21:12 UTC

On 7/28/2022 8:47 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:
> XGID=aB-BaBB--AA-dC---b-cb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10
>
> X:Player 1   O:Player 2
> Score is X:3 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.
>  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
>  | X           O    |   | O  O     O     X |
>  | X           O    |   | O  O     O     X |
>  | X                |   | O                |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  |                  |   |                  |
>  |                  |BAR|                  |
>  |                  | O |                  |
>  | O                |   |                  |
>  | O                |   |                  |
>  | O                |   | X  X     X     X |
>  | O     X  X       |   | X  X  O  X     X |
>  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> Pip count  X: 136  O: 148 X-O: 3-3/7
> Cube: 1
> X on roll, cube action
>

This is a fairly "normal" score. The take point is deeper due to the
recube vig but the price of gammon is higher since a doubled gammon wins
the match.

5s and 6s are usually market losers as is 11 and 22. Has X lost the
market already? Very possibly. I'd ship it since the take is unclear
and it gives a human opponent a chance to make an error.

X owns both ace points, which is usually enough of a liability that I'll
say take.

D/T.

Re: 4-away/4-away cube action

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Subject: Re: 4-away/4-away cube action
From: atilamal...@gmail.com (atila...@gmail.com)
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 by: atila...@gmail.com - Fri, 29 Jul 2022 07:39 UTC

29 Temmuz 2022 Cuma tarihinde saat 00:12:10 UTC+3 itibarıyla ah...Clem şunları yazdı:
> On 7/28/2022 8:47 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:
> > XGID=aB-BaBB--AA-dC---b-cb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10
> >
> > X:Player 1 O:Player 2
> > Score is X:3 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.
> > +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> > | X O | | O O O X |
> > | X O | | O O O X |
> > | X | | O |
> > | | | |
> > | | | |
> > | |BAR| |
> > | | O | |
> > | O | | |
> > | O | | |
> > | O | | X X X X |
> > | O X X | | X X O X X |
> > +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> > Pip count X: 136 O: 148 X-O: 3-3/7
> > Cube: 1
> > X on roll, cube action
> >
> This is a fairly "normal" score. The take point is deeper due to the
> recube vig but the price of gammon is higher since a doubled gammon wins
> the match.
>
> 5s and 6s are usually market losers as is 11 and 22. Has X lost the
> market already? Very possibly. I'd ship it since the take is unclear
> and it gives a human opponent a chance to make an error.
>
> X owns both ace points, which is usually enough of a liability that I'll
> say take.
>
>
> D/T.
We'll enter from the bar against a 4-point board. Moreover, the opponent will most likely send the second checker to the bar. I'll never take it.
I have tested such positions a lot. To accept the cube, the opponent must have 9 or less men in the attacking zone.
Of course I would turn the cube.

Re: 4-away/4-away cube action

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Re: 4-away/4-away cube action
Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2022 08:03:43 -0400
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 by: Timothy Chow - Fri, 29 Jul 2022 12:03 UTC

On 7/29/2022 3:39 AM, atila...@gmail.com wrote:
> We'll enter from the bar against a 4-point board. Moreover, the opponent will most likely send the second checker to the bar. I'll never take it.
> I have tested such positions a lot. To accept the cube, the opponent must have 9 or less men in the attacking zone.

Is this rule of thumb specifically for the 4-away/4-away score?

---
Tim Chow

Rollout: 4-away/4-away cube action

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From: tchow12...@yahoo.com (Timothy Chow)
Newsgroups: rec.games.backgammon
Subject: Rollout: 4-away/4-away cube action
Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2022 09:02:15 -0400
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 by: Timothy Chow - Sat, 30 Jul 2022 13:02 UTC

XGID=aB-BaBB--AA-dC---b-cb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | |
| O | | X X X X |
| O X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 136 O: 148 X-O: 3-3/7
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

This is a trivial take for money, but this ain't money. Again,
one of the main reasons I'm posting this is because XG 3-ply took
my double here. But the rollout below says that taking is a
double whopper with cheese at this score.

Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 60.14% (G:39.00% B:0.78%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.86% (G:12.86% B:1.42%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.43% (G:40.50% B:1.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.57% (G:13.30% B:2.64%)

Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.640 (-0.360)
Double/Take: +1.267 (+0.267)
Double/Pass: +1.000

Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.018 (+0.622..+0.657)
Confidence Double: ± 0.029 (+1.238..+1.295)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---
Tim Chow

Re: 4-away/4-away cube action

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Subject: Re: 4-away/4-away cube action
From: bananabo...@gmail.com (Stick Rice)
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 by: Stick Rice - Thu, 4 Aug 2022 18:26 UTC

On Thursday, July 28, 2022 at 5:12:10 PM UTC-4, ah...Clem wrote:
> On 7/28/2022 8:47 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:
> > XGID=aB-BaBB--AA-dC---b-cb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10
> >
> > X:Player 1 O:Player 2
> > Score is X:3 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.
> > +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> > | X O | | O O O X |
> > | X O | | O O O X |
> > | X | | O |
> > | | | |
> > | | | |
> > | |BAR| |
> > | | O | |
> > | O | | |
> > | O | | |
> > | O | | X X X X |
> > | O X X | | X X O X X |
> > +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
> > Pip count X: 136 O: 148 X-O: 3-3/7
> > Cube: 1
> > X on roll, cube action
> >
> This is a fairly "normal" score. The take point is deeper due to the
> recube vig but the price of gammon is higher since a doubled gammon wins
> the match.
>
> 5s and 6s are usually market losers as is 11 and 22. Has X lost the
> market already? Very possibly. I'd ship it since the take is unclear
> and it gives a human opponent a chance to make an error.
>
> X owns both ace points, which is usually enough of a liability that I'll
> say take.
>
>
> D/T.

This is far removed from resembling a normal score.

Stick

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