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sport / alt.sports.football.pro.dallas-cowboys / Projected 2022 Starting Quarterback for Every Team (along with best-season AV rankings)

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Projected 2022 Starting Quarterback for Every Team (along with best-season AV rankings)

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Subject: Projected 2022 Starting Quarterback for Every Team (along with
best-season AV rankings)
From: prohuman...@gmail.com (observer)
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 by: observer - Sat, 14 May 2022 19:55 UTC

The following is based on the QBs listed in
the following article:

---
May 14 2022

Projecting Every NFL Team's
Starting Lineup for 2022
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2956034-projecting-every-nfl-teams-starting-lineup-for-2022
---

The rankings utilize the best year(s) of
each QB in the Approximate Value done
by Pro Football Reference each year:

Arizona Cardinals .................. Kyler Murray (best AV = 16, 2020/2021)

Atlanta Falcons ..................... Marcus Mariota (best AV = 13, 2013)

Baltimore Ravens .................. Lamar Jackson (best AV = 25, 2019)

Buffalo Bills ........................... Josh Allen (best AV = 19, 2021)

Carolina Panthers ................. Sam Darnold (best AV = 7, 2018)

Chicago Bears ...................... Justin Fields (best AV = 6, 2021)

Cincinnati Bengals ............... Joe Burrow (best AV = 15, 2021)

Cleveland Browns ................ Deshaun Watson (best AV = 16, 2018/2019/2020)

Dallas Cowboys ................... Dak Prescott (best AV = 15, 2016/2019)

Denver Broncos ................... Russell Wilson (best AV = 19, 2014/2015)

Detroit Lions ........................ Jared Goff (best AV = 18, 2018)

Green Bay Packers .............. Aaron Rodgers (best AV = 23, 2011)

Houston Texans ................... Davis Mills (best AV = 7, 2021)

Kansas City Chiefs ............... Patrick Mahomes (best AV = 22, 2018)

Indianapolis Colts ................ Matt Ryan (best AV = 21, 2016)

Jacksonville Jaguars ........... Trevor Lawrence (best AV = 7, 2021)

Las Vegas Raiders ............... Derek Carr (best AV = 14, 2020)

Los Angeles Chargers ......... Justin Herbert (best AV = 18, 2021)

Los Angeles Rams ............... Matthew Stafford (best AV = 16, 2011)

Miami Dolphins .................... Tua Tagovailoa (best AV = 7, 2021)

Minnesota Vikings ............... Kirk Cousins (best AV = 15, 2016)

New England Patriots .......... Mac Jones (best AV = 14, 2021)

New Orleans Saints ............. Jameis Winston (best AV = 15, 2019)

New York Giants .................. Daniel Jones (best AV = 9, 2019/2020)

New York Jets ...................... Zach Wilson (best AV = 5, 2021)

Philadelphia Eagles ............ Jalen Hurts (best AV = 17, 2021)

Pittsburgh Steelers ............. Mitch Trubisky (best AV = 13, 2018)

San Francisco 49ers ............ Trey Lance (best AV = 3, 2021)

Seattle Seahawks ................ Geno Smith (best AV = 7, 2013/2014)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers ...... Tom Brady (best AV = 23, 2007)

Tennessee Titans ................ Ryan Tannehill (best AV = 16, 2020)

Washington Commanders .. Carson Wentz (best AV = 14, 2021)

---

QB Starter Rankings based solely on best
Approximate Value season or seasons as
graded by https://www.pro-football-reference.com/

Disclaimer: For a huge array of reasons, Tom Brady
is the Greatest of All Time.

However, the following list, based solely on the best-
season Approximate Value of each QB, PFF was so
impressed with Lamar Jackson's record-setting most
rushing yards by a QB in 2019, they gave him the high-
est Approximate Value in any season of any starting
QB projected to start in the 2022 season.

Rightly or wrongly, well, that's debatable.

A blatant flaw of PFF's AV, they totally ignore where
Tom Brady has set a standard far beyond any QB in
NFL history, the POST-SEASON, so therein resides
the achilles heel of the PFF AV stats. -IF- one takes
post-seasons into account, Tom Brady indisputably
has the best AV of all-time.

Surprising (to me), Jalen Hurts having the 10th-best
best-season-AV of the 32 QB starters. Another sur-
prise (to me), Dak Prescott's best-season-AV of 15
ranks him tied for 15th in the following list.

Geno Smith, very few starts since 2014, so 2022 is
mysterious. Trey Lance, if he starts in 2022, it'll be
his first full-time shot as starter (he had just 2 starts
in 2021) so 2022 is mysterious.

In fact, all of the starters (other than Sam Darnold
& Geno Smith) having best-season-AVs of 7 or less
haven't yet had enough time to see how well they
can play.

1. Lamar Jackson (best AV = 25, 2019)
2. Tom Brady (best AV = 23, 2007)
2. Aaron Rodgers (best AV = 23, 2011)
4. Patrick Mahomes (best AV = 22, 2018)
5. Matt Ryan (best AV = 21, 2016)
6. Josh Allen (best AV = 19, 2021)
6. Russell Wilson (best AV = 19, 2014/2015)
8. Justin Herbert (best AV = 18, 2021)
8. Jared Goff (best AV = 18, 2018)
10. Jalen Hurts (best AV = 17, 2021)

11. Deshaun Watson (best AV = 16, 2018/2019/2020)
11. Matthew Stafford (best AV = 16, 2011)
11. Kyler Murray (best AV = 16, 2020/2021)
11. Ryan Tannehill (best AV = 16, 2020)
15. Joe Burrow (best AV = 15, 2021)
15. Dak Prescott (best AV = 15, 2016/2019)
15. Kirk Cousins (best AV = 15, 2016)
15. Jameis Winston (best AV = 15, 2019)
19. Derek Carr (best AV = 14, 2020)
19. Carson Wentz (best AV = 14, 2021)
19. Mac Jones (best AV = 14, 2021)

22. Mitch Trubisky (best AV = 13, 2018)
22. Marcus Mariota (best AV = 13, 2013)
24. Daniel Jones (best AV = 9, 2019/2020)
25. Sam Darnold (best AV = 7, 2018)
25. Davis Mills (best AV = 7, 2021)
25. Trevor Lawrence (best AV = 7, 2021)
25. Tua Tagovailoa (best AV = 7, 2021)
25. Geno Smith (best AV = 7, 2013/2014)
30. Justin Fields (best AV = 6, 2021)
31. Zach Wilson (best AV = 5, 2021)
32. Trey Lance (best AV = 3, 2021)

--- --- ---

Re: Projected 2022 Starting Quarterback for Every Team (along with best-season AV rankings)

<7cf0dc4f-dc58-44cd-9624-a8383b4846a7n@googlegroups.com>

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Subject: Re: Projected 2022 Starting Quarterback for Every Team (along with
best-season AV rankings)
From: prohuman...@gmail.com (observer)
Injection-Date: Sun, 19 Jun 2022 16:01:40 +0000
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
 by: observer - Sun, 19 Jun 2022 16:01 UTC

Follow-up:

Highlights of potential QB starter competi-
tions referred to as "6 most intriguing QB
competitions" in the following article dated
June 15 2022:
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2022-nfl-training-camp-battles-steelers-headline-six-most-intriguing-qb-competitions-to-watch/

On Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 2:55:38 PM UTC-5, observer wrote:

..> The following is based on the QBs listed in
..> the following article:
..>
..> ---
..> May 14 2022
..>
..> Projecting Every NFL Team's
..> Starting Lineup for 2022
..> https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2956034-projecting-every-nfl-teams-starting-lineup-for-2022
..> ---
..>
..> The rankings utilize the best year(s) of
..> each QB in the Approximate Value done
..> by Pro Football Reference each year:
..>
..> Arizona Cardinals .................. Kyler Murray (best AV = 16, 2020/2021)
..>
..> Atlanta Falcons ..................... Marcus Mariota (best AV = 13, 2013)
Marcus Mariota vs Desmond Ridder (74th pick in 2022 draft)
..>
..> Baltimore Ravens .................. Lamar Jackson (best AV = 25, 2019)
..>
..> Buffalo Bills ........................... Josh Allen (best AV = 19, 2021)
..>
..> Carolina Panthers ................. Sam Darnold (best AV = 7, 2018)
Sam Darnold vs Matt Corral (94th pick in 2022 draft)
..>
..> Chicago Bears ...................... Justin Fields (best AV = 6, 2021)
..>
..> Cincinnati Bengals ............... Joe Burrow (best AV = 15, 2021)
..>
..> Cleveland Browns ................ Deshaun Watson (best AV = 16, 2018/2019/2020)
Deshaun Watson vs NFL suspension/Jacoby Brissett, 91st pick in 2016 draft, best AV= 11, 2017)
..>
..> Dallas Cowboys ................... Dak Prescott (best AV = 15, 2016/2019)
..>
..> Denver Broncos ................... Russell Wilson (best AV = 19, 2014/2015)
..>
..> Detroit Lions ........................ Jared Goff (best AV = 18, 2018)
..>
..> Green Bay Packers .............. Aaron Rodgers (best AV = 23, 2011)
..>
..> Houston Texans ................... Davis Mills (best AV = 7, 2021)
..>
..> Kansas City Chiefs ............... Patrick Mahomes (best AV = 22, 2018)
..>
..> Indianapolis Colts ................ Matt Ryan (best AV = 21, 2016)
..>
..> Jacksonville Jaguars ........... Trevor Lawrence (best AV = 7, 2021)
..>
..> Las Vegas Raiders ............... Derek Carr (best AV = 14, 2020)
..>
..> Los Angeles Chargers ......... Justin Herbert (best AV = 18, 2021)
..>
..> Los Angeles Rams ............... Matthew Stafford (best AV = 16, 2011)
..>
..> Miami Dolphins .................... Tua Tagovailoa (best AV = 7, 2021)
..>
..> Minnesota Vikings ............... Kirk Cousins (best AV = 15, 2016)
..>
..> New England Patriots .......... Mac Jones (best AV = 14, 2021)
..>
..> New Orleans Saints ............. Jameis Winston (best AV = 15, 2019)
..>
..> New York Giants .................. Daniel Jones (best AV = 9, 2019/2020)
..>
..> New York Jets ...................... Zach Wilson (best AV = 5, 2021)
..>
..> Philadelphia Eagles ............ Jalen Hurts (best AV = 17, 2021)
..>
..> Pittsburgh Steelers ............. Mitch Trubisky (best AV = 13, 2018)
Mitch Trubisky vs Kenny Pickett (20th pick in 2022 draft)
..>
..> San Francisco 49ers ............ Trey Lance (best AV = 3, 2021)
Trey Lance vs Jimmy Garoppolo (62nd pick in 2014 draft, best AV = 15, 2019)
..>
..> Seattle Seahawks ................ Geno Smith (best AV = 7, 2013/2014)
Geno Smith vs Drew Lock (42nd pick in 2019 draft, best AV = 6, 2020)
..>
..> Tampa Bay Buccaneers ...... Tom Brady (best AV = 23, 2007)
..>
..> Tennessee Titans ................ Ryan Tannehill (best AV = 16, 2020)
..>
..> Washington Commanders .. Carson Wentz (best AV = 14, 2021)
..>
..> ---
..>
..> QB Starter Rankings based solely on best
..> Approximate Value season or seasons as
..> graded by https://www.pro-football-reference.com/
..>
..> Disclaimer: For a huge array of reasons, Tom Brady
..> is the Greatest of All Time.
..>
..> However, the following list, based solely on the best-
..> season Approximate Value of each QB, PFF was so
..> impressed with Lamar Jackson's record-setting most
..> rushing yards by a QB in 2019, they gave him the high-
..> est Approximate Value in any season of any starting
..> QB projected to start in the 2022 season.
..>
..> Rightly or wrongly, well, that's debatable.
..>
..> A blatant flaw of PFF's AV, they totally ignore where
..> Tom Brady has set a standard far beyond any QB in
..> NFL history, the POST-SEASON, so therein resides
..> the achilles heel of the PFF AV stats. -IF- one takes
..> post-seasons into account, Tom Brady indisputably
..> has the best AV of all-time.
..>
..> Surprising (to me), Jalen Hurts having the 10th-best
..> best-season-AV of the 32 QB starters. Another sur-
..> prise (to me), Dak Prescott's best-season-AV of 15
..> ranks him tied for 15th in the following list.
..>
..> Geno Smith, very few starts since 2014, so 2022 is
..> mysterious. Trey Lance, if he starts in 2022, it'll be
..> his first full-time shot as starter (he had just 2 starts
..> in 2021) so 2022 is mysterious.
..>
..> In fact, all of the starters (other than Sam Darnold
..> & Geno Smith) having best-season-AVs of 7 or less
..> haven't yet had enough time to see how well they
..> can play.
..>
..> 1. Lamar Jackson (best AV = 25, 2019)
..> 2. Tom Brady (best AV = 23, 2007)
..> 2. Aaron Rodgers (best AV = 23, 2011)
..> 4. Patrick Mahomes (best AV = 22, 2018)
..> 5. Matt Ryan (best AV = 21, 2016)
..> 6. Josh Allen (best AV = 19, 2021)
..> 6. Russell Wilson (best AV = 19, 2014/2015)
..> 8. Justin Herbert (best AV = 18, 2021)
..> 8. Jared Goff (best AV = 18, 2018)
..> 10. Jalen Hurts (best AV = 17, 2021)
..>
..> 11. Deshaun Watson (best AV = 16, 2018/2019/2020)
..> 11. Matthew Stafford (best AV = 16, 2011)
..> 11. Kyler Murray (best AV = 16, 2020/2021)
..> 11. Ryan Tannehill (best AV = 16, 2020)
..> 15. Joe Burrow (best AV = 15, 2021)
..> 15. Dak Prescott (best AV = 15, 2016/2019)
..> 15. Kirk Cousins (best AV = 15, 2016)
..> 15. Jameis Winston (best AV = 15, 2019)
..> 19. Derek Carr (best AV = 14, 2020)
..> 19. Carson Wentz (best AV = 14, 2021)
..> 19. Mac Jones (best AV = 14, 2021)
..>
..> 22. Mitch Trubisky (best AV = 13, 2018)
..> 22. Marcus Mariota (best AV = 13, 2013)
..> 24. Daniel Jones (best AV = 9, 2019/2020)
..> 25. Sam Darnold (best AV = 7, 2018)
..> 25. Davis Mills (best AV = 7, 2021)
..> 25. Trevor Lawrence (best AV = 7, 2021)
..> 25. Tua Tagovailoa (best AV = 7, 2021)
..> 25. Geno Smith (best AV = 7, 2013/2014)
..> 30. Justin Fields (best AV = 6, 2021)
..> 31. Zach Wilson (best AV = 5, 2021)
..> 32. Trey Lance (best AV = 3, 2021)
..>
..> *--- --- ---*

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