Rocksolid Light

Welcome to novaBBS (click a section below)

mail  files  register  newsreader  groups  login

Message-ID:  

A gambler's biggest thrill is winning a bet. His next biggest thrill is losing a bet.


sport / alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox / R-squareds, various categories, 9/19

SubjectAuthor
o R-squareds, various categories, 9/19nate

1
R-squareds, various categories, 9/19

<d8c9d22b-a87b-425e-b418-a8f4ae164e85n@googlegroups.com>

  copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/sport/article-flat.php?id=368&group=alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox#368

  copy link   Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
X-Received: by 2002:ae9:ec0f:: with SMTP id h15mr24525391qkg.224.1632152515005;
Mon, 20 Sep 2021 08:41:55 -0700 (PDT)
X-Received: by 2002:aca:5bd4:: with SMTP id p203mr8746971oib.34.1632152514800;
Mon, 20 Sep 2021 08:41:54 -0700 (PDT)
Path: i2pn2.org!i2pn.org!weretis.net!feeder6.news.weretis.net!news.misty.com!border2.nntp.dca1.giganews.com!nntp.giganews.com!news-out.google.com!nntp.google.com!postnews.google.com!google-groups.googlegroups.com!not-for-mail
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
Date: Mon, 20 Sep 2021 08:41:54 -0700 (PDT)
Injection-Info: google-groups.googlegroups.com; posting-host=72.74.21.76; posting-account=8QYXOAoAAAAfYAihpL1gCW8Fo8AW64nm
NNTP-Posting-Host: 72.74.21.76
User-Agent: G2/1.0
MIME-Version: 1.0
Message-ID: <d8c9d22b-a87b-425e-b418-a8f4ae164e85n@googlegroups.com>
Subject: R-squareds, various categories, 9/19
From: greyst...@net1plus.com (nate)
Injection-Date: Mon, 20 Sep 2021 15:41:54 +0000
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
Lines: 80
 by: nate - Mon, 20 Sep 2021 15:41 UTC

Share of All Bases per Out, X, vs. Wins per Game, Y
0.557454 0.646667 SFG
0.562520 0.640000 LAD
0.537432 0.613333 TBR
0.531893 0.610738 MIL
0.539577 0.590604 HOU
0.526999 0.570470 CHW
0.509195 0.569536 BOS
0.537053 0.563758 TOR
0.505774 0.553333 NYY
0.523029 0.550336 OAK
0.478188 0.536913 SEA
0.511162 0.533784 STL
0.521521 0.523810 ATL
0.495217 0.513333 CIN
0.507068 0.510067 PHI
0.506063 0.510067 SDP
0.498604 0.496599 CLE
0.501002 0.486667 NYM
0.482156 0.483221 LAA
0.478841 0.480000 DET
0.488993 0.469799 COL
0.476693 0.449664 KCR
0.466612 0.446667 CHC
0.482486 0.433333 MIN
0.486734 0.422819 MIA
0.485057 0.409396 WSN
0.450357 0.375839 PIT
0.454419 0.369128 TEX
0.448725 0.322148 ARI
0.442638 0.315436 BAL

fit of\ data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.582*X + -0.790522
R-squared = 0.869225 significance = 13.642118

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.947974*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.501308
R-squared = 0.874274 significance = 13.953708

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.946494*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.501124
R-squared = 0.873728 significance = 13.919190

fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.4632*X + -1.23277
R-squared = 0.842105 significance = 12.220167

fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.2004*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.499675
R-squared = 0.846585 significance = 12.430286

fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.20037*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.499638
R-squared = 0.846328 significance = 12.417972

fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.44178*X + -1.22241
R-squared = 0.624770 significance = 6.827951

fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.697*X + -1.34937
R-squared = 0.694385 significance = 7.976118

fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.96469*X + -0.983539
R-squared = 0.848733 significance = 12.534071
- astoundingly better than all Ordinary OPS figures above!

but my guy still has a 20 point lead, .869 to .849 over slugging.

- nate

1
server_pubkey.txt

rocksolid light 0.9.8
clearnet tor