On Sun, 18 Apr 2021 19:30:25 UTC, al <al@nospam.net> wrote:

al, thanks for your input although most of these angles have been known
for decades in one form or another.
I've been in this game since the 1960's and don't recall any horse running the next day,
though this comes from North American tracks only. Don't know anything about the world's
other tracks.
The downside to all of this is...as laid out these angles happen far too infrequently
to really matter to the bottom line.

> Free Turf Horse Racing Systems
> obtained courtesy of the Flatstats website ...
>
> 2nd Favourites at Grade 1 Courses
> System: Back all 2nd favourites in Selling and Claiming races at Ascot,
> Epsom, Goodwood, Kempton, New-
> bury, Sandown, York
> Date created: 23-Mar-02
> Initial Results: 25% strike rate, 17% profit
> Why does it work?: Because punters are not used to lowly sellers and
> claimers at the very best courses.
> They overbet 'he favourite and sometimes create false favourites. The
> second favourite is thus underbet and
> pushed into profitability.
> Bookies have to balance their books and with all the weight of money on
> the favourite, the price of the other
> horses tend to lengthen. The second favourite is the 'second best' horse
> in the race. If his price is higher than
> it should be, then in the long run he is valuable to follow.
>
> Beaten Favourites
> Back beaten favourites in Novice races.
> Horse must be fancied (SP < RUNNERS / 3.33) and not up in class
> Date created: 25-Aug-00
> Initial Results: 53% strike rate, 29% profit
> Why does it work?: All beaten favourites are generally underbet by the
> public. Punters see that they were
> beaten last time when favourite and assume that he could be beaten again
> today.
> The reason why Novice races are profitable for this system is not known.
>
> Next Day Runners
> Back horses who ran yesterday and are favourite today
> Date created: 27-Aug-00
> Initial Results: 40% strike rate, 29% profit
> Why does it work?: Punters are seriously underbetting this kind of
> horse. All next day runners do not make a
> profit. But those who are favourite win as often as a regular favourite
> but have the added advantage of being
> fit and strongly fancied by connections. The odds available for them is
> higher than it should be, thus a value
> bet can be had.
>
> Quick Return Handicaps
> Back colts and geldings who last ran within 3 days. Must have won within
> the past 4 weeks and SP in single
> figures
> Date created: 10-Mar-02
> Initial Results: 35% strike rate, 43% profit
> Why does it work?: a) Because males hold a tremendous edge over females,
> b) turning out quickly on the
> sand is a huge positive, c) by insisting the horse has won within 4
> weeks shows he has winning ability, d) sin-
> gle figure SP ensures that the contender is no donkey, or is not taking
> a big rise in class.
>
> Stakes races (not maiden), horse last ran within 3 days, 10 runners or
> less, the favouriteInitial Results: 57% strike rate 33% profit
> Why does it work?: Similar reasons to the handicap version - it is
> relying on quick returners. You
> could filter for males, but most of the qualifiers are males anyway.
>
> Favourite Colts
> Back Colts who won within 7 days and are the favourite
> Date created: 29-Jan-02
> Initial Results: 48% strike rate, 25% profit
> Why does it work?: Because punters seriously underestimate a) the
> importance of a recent win, b)
> colts on the all weather. This favourite is very much underbet by form
> punters and media pundits.
>
> 6yo in Selling Stakes
> Back 6yo's in middle and long distance selling stakes in January. (Works
> best with contenders who
> are within the first three in the betting)
> Date created: 04-Jan-02
> Initial Results: 62% strike rate, 112% profit
> Why does it work?: Because of a flaw in the weight for age scale. On Jan
> 1st all horses are one
> year older. In this month there are peculiarities in certain stakes
> races which creates biases to certain
> age groups. 6yo's in selling stakes are one such advantaged group.
>
> Recent Winners with Penalty
> Class D-E Handicaps (not 3yo+), winner LTO within 7 days, age < 6,
> penalty 4-7lbs, distance < 10f
> Date created: 26-Dec-00
> Initial Results: 42% strike rate, 27% profit
> Why does it work?: On turf as well as AW the penalty system is not penal
> enough. Trying to stop a
> winning horse with extra weight is like King Canute trying to stop the
> tide coming in. On the AW
> though, this advantage is greater.
> Don't be put off by the convoluted rules. It is slightly back fitted,
> but all the usual safeguards and tests
> have been done to prove the systems worthiness.
>
> CD Top weights
> Back CD winners who are top weight in Claimers and Sellers at 10f or more
> Date created: 20-Aug-00
> Initial Results: 47% strike rate, 30% profit
> Why does it work?: Punters underestimate the chances of CD top weights
> in those races. Most of
> the contenders are serial sand winners and punters refuse to bet them
> because they think a) the
> horse has won enough races, b) the horse is running in a seller or
> claimer so the connections can't
> fancy it if they risk it being bought. This is wrong. The serial CD
> winner in these races keeps on win-
> ning and beating the lower weighted runners.
> The provision of 10f+ is to ensure that the 'CD' has more meaning. The
> longer the race, the more the
> advantage of having won over the course and distance.
> The Latest Results
>
> Note:The above systems were created using Flatstats data and resources.
> The above systems are
> free and you are allowed to follow them if you wish to do so. Please do
> not copy the systems and
> claim as your own work. If you do wish to mention these systems in any
> printed or electronic media
> please ensure that you state clearly that the systems were obtained from
> the Flatstats website. We
> reserve the right to protect our work. We may prosecute any person who
> profits from selling the
> above systems.
> The systems have made a profit in the past but there is no guarantee
> that they may do so in the fu-
> ture.

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On 4/19/2021 2:23 PM, Mr. G wrote:
> On Sun, 18 Apr 2021 19:30:25 UTC, al <al@nospam.net> wrote:
>
> al, thanks for your input although most of these angles have been known
> for decades in one form or another.
> I've been in this game since the 1960's and don't recall any horse running the next day,
> though this comes from North American tracks only. Don't know anything about the world's
> other tracks.
> The downside to all of this is...as laid out these angles happen far too infrequently
> to really matter to the bottom line.
>
>> Free Turf Horse Racing Systems
>> obtained courtesy of the Flatstats website ...
>>
>> 2nd Favourites at Grade 1 Courses
>> System: Back all 2nd favourites in Selling and Claiming races at Ascot,
>> Epsom, Goodwood, Kempton, New-
>> bury, Sandown, York
>> Date created: 23-Mar-02
>> Initial Results: 25% strike rate, 17% profit
>> Why does it work?: Because punters are not used to lowly sellers and
>> claimers at the very best courses.
>> They overbet 'he favourite and sometimes create false favourites. The
>> second favourite is thus underbet and
>> pushed into profitability.
>> Bookies have to balance their books and with all the weight of money on
>> the favourite, the price of the other
>> horses tend to lengthen. The second favourite is the 'second best' horse
>> in the race. If his price is higher than
>> it should be, then in the long run he is valuable to follow.
>>
>> Beaten Favourites
>> Back beaten favourites in Novice races.
>> Horse must be fancied (SP < RUNNERS / 3.33) and not up in class
>> Date created: 25-Aug-00
>> Initial Results: 53% strike rate, 29% profit
>> Why does it work?: All beaten favourites are generally underbet by the
>> public. Punters see that they were
>> beaten last time when favourite and assume that he could be beaten again
>> today.
>> The reason why Novice races are profitable for this system is not known.
>>
>> Next Day Runners
>> Back horses who ran yesterday and are favourite today
>> Date created: 27-Aug-00
>> Initial Results: 40% strike rate, 29% profit
>> Why does it work?: Punters are seriously underbetting this kind of
>> horse. All next day runners do not make a
>> profit. But those who are favourite win as often as a regular favourite
>> but have the added advantage of being
>> fit and strongly fancied by connections. The odds available for them is
>> higher than it should be, thus a value
>> bet can be had.
>>
>> Quick Return Handicaps
>> Back colts and geldings who last ran within 3 days. Must have won within
>> the past 4 weeks and SP in single
>> figures
>> Date created: 10-Mar-02
>> Initial Results: 35% strike rate, 43% profit
>> Why does it work?: a) Because males hold a tremendous edge over females,
>> b) turning out quickly on the
>> sand is a huge positive, c) by insisting the horse has won within 4
>> weeks shows he has winning ability, d) sin-
>> gle figure SP ensures that the contender is no donkey, or is not taking
>> a big rise in class.
>>
>> Stakes races (not maiden), horse last ran within 3 days, 10 runners or
>> less, the favouriteInitial Results: 57% strike rate 33% profit
>> Why does it work?: Similar reasons to the handicap version - it is
>> relying on quick returners. You
>> could filter for males, but most of the qualifiers are males anyway.
>>
>> Favourite Colts
>> Back Colts who won within 7 days and are the favourite
>> Date created: 29-Jan-02
>> Initial Results: 48% strike rate, 25% profit
>> Why does it work?: Because punters seriously underestimate a) the
>> importance of a recent win, b)
>> colts on the all weather. This favourite is very much underbet by form
>> punters and media pundits.
>>
>> 6yo in Selling Stakes
>> Back 6yo's in middle and long distance selling stakes in January. (Works
>> best with contenders who
>> are within the first three in the betting)
>> Date created: 04-Jan-02
>> Initial Results: 62% strike rate, 112% profit
>> Why does it work?: Because of a flaw in the weight for age scale. On Jan
>> 1st all horses are one
>> year older. In this month there are peculiarities in certain stakes
>> races which creates biases to certain
>> age groups. 6yo's in selling stakes are one such advantaged group.
>>
>> Recent Winners with Penalty
>> Class D-E Handicaps (not 3yo+), winner LTO within 7 days, age < 6,
>> penalty 4-7lbs, distance < 10f
>> Date created: 26-Dec-00
>> Initial Results: 42% strike rate, 27% profit
>> Why does it work?: On turf as well as AW the penalty system is not penal
>> enough. Trying to stop a
>> winning horse with extra weight is like King Canute trying to stop the
>> tide coming in. On the AW
>> though, this advantage is greater.
>> Don't be put off by the convoluted rules. It is slightly back fitted,
>> but all the usual safeguards and tests
>> have been done to prove the systems worthiness.
>>
>> CD Top weights
>> Back CD winners who are top weight in Claimers and Sellers at 10f or more
>> Date created: 20-Aug-00
>> Initial Results: 47% strike rate, 30% profit
>> Why does it work?: Punters underestimate the chances of CD top weights
>> in those races. Most of
>> the contenders are serial sand winners and punters refuse to bet them
>> because they think a) the
>> horse has won enough races, b) the horse is running in a seller or
>> claimer so the connections can't
>> fancy it if they risk it being bought. This is wrong. The serial CD
>> winner in these races keeps on win-
>> ning and beating the lower weighted runners.
>> The provision of 10f+ is to ensure that the 'CD' has more meaning. The
>> longer the race, the more the
>> advantage of having won over the course and distance.
>> The Latest Results
>>
>> Note:The above systems were created using Flatstats data and resources.
>> The above systems are
>> free and you are allowed to follow them if you wish to do so. Please do
>> not copy the systems and
>> claim as your own work. If you do wish to mention these systems in any
>> printed or electronic media
>> please ensure that you state clearly that the systems were obtained from
>> the Flatstats website. We
>> reserve the right to protect our work. We may prosecute any person who
>> profits from selling the
>> above systems.
>> The systems have made a profit in the past but there is no guarantee
>> that they may do so in the fu-
>> ture.
>
>
>

They are copied verbatim from the source mentioned, and do not include
my opinions on their worth. Just thought they might be of some interest
to the few who might still stop by here. I, too, am an "oldtimer" at
this game, having started at harness racing in Yonkers, NY in 1959!!