On Thursday, December 28, 2023 at 5:22:28 AM UTC+11, a a wrote:
> On Wednesday 27 December 2023 at 17:20:52 UTC+1, Fred Bloggs wrote:
> > On Tuesday, December 26, 2023 at 5:24:35 PM UTC-5, a a wrote:
> > > On Tuesday 26 December 2023 at 21:54:29 UTC+1, Fred Bloggs wrote:
> > > > 'Currently, earthquake risk models are mainly based on extrapolations from limited historical timescale and ground motion recordings from past quakes. But fortunately, a different group of sentinels have witnessed and captured data from these temblors for much longer than humans: rocks.'
> > > >
> > > > Very clever research.
> > > >
> > > > Not sure this will be all that much of a cost savings. If the earthquake research indicates an upper limit of L, the structural engineers will want to build out to withstand 2xL. So a new design standard will call out a 37.5% reduction in design strength.
> > > >
> > > > https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/balanced-boulders-on-san-andreas-fault-suggest-the-big-one-won-t-be-as-destructive-as-once-thought/ar-AA1m3GEY
> > > >
> > > > Wiki article on the ubiquitous beryllium-10:
> > > >
> > > > https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beryllium-10
> > > >
> > > > So how does beryllium-10 concentration vary inversely with solar activity?

It is supposed to vary with cosmic ray activity, rather than solar activity - cosmic rays are more energetic than the high energy particles emitted by the sun.

<snip>

> > Too many false positives using radon for a predictor. The authorities have to keep that kind of thing to a minimum, otherwise people will stop believing their warnings no matter how good, and stop heeding them.
> >
> > The real answer to reliable prediction will be machine learning AI, which will be the same as a really seasoned geophysicist.
>
> Fred, don't be silly
>
> Radon is ok as a precursor of the coming earthquake

Not a widely held opinion.

> AI has nothing to do with any science

It's got quite a lot to offer some sciences. Some exercises in reasoning take too much computation to be done reliably in human brains.
The solution to the protein folding problem came from artificial intelligence, and was real advance in biochemistry.
> False positive comments by low brainers don't deserve my attention.

Darius's attention isn't a benefit. We don't value it and would be very grateful if he were kind enough to ignore us.

He does seem to be remarkably low in brain power.

<snipped the rest of Darius the dumb's lunatic ravings>

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney