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tech / sci.electronics.design / Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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 |`* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
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 | |`- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
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 |  `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
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 |    `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
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  +* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
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   |+* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Martin Brown
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   |||`* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Martin Brown
   ||| `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   |||  +- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Martin Brown
   |||  +- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Spehro Pefhany
   |||  `- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   ||`* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Tom Gardner
   || `- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |`- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   +* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   |`* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   | `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Lasse Langwadt Christensen
   |  `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |   `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   |    +- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Ed Lee
   |    +* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Anthony William Sloman
   |    |`* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   |    | +* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Ed Lee
   |    | |`- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Anthony William Sloman
   |    | `- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Anthony William Sloman
   |    `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |     +- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   |     `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Martin Brown
   |      `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |       `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Martin Brown
   |        +* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Tom Gardner
   |        |+* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Anthony William Sloman
   |        ||`* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Tom Gardner
   |        || `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |        ||  +* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Tom Gardner
   |        ||  |`- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |        ||  `- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Lasse Langwadt Christensen
   |        |+- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19jlarkin
   |        |`- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |        `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Don Y
   |         `- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19Anthony William Sloman
   +- Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
   `* Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19legg
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Pages:123456
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<d19ufg5cokbm64h0lcucjnlqv589jib2hf@4ax.com>

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 26 Jul 2021 17:16:59 -0400
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 by: legg - Mon, 26 Jul 2021 21:16 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.
>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>
>
> Comparison charts, as of Jun 30 are available:
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210630_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210630_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210630_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210630_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210630_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210630_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg
>
>
>
> Flu Season? Fatality comparison in the U.S.A.
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_022.jpg
> Updated Jun 30
>

> The US, UK, Chile, Canada and Italy have all issued >=~100% of
> vaccine doses, with vaccination rates of 48.1%, 53.0%, 60.4%,
> 49.2% and 43% respectively.

> This roughly equals or exceeds the vaccination rate recorded for
> the Pfizer trial in Israel in the last week of March 2021, 120 days
> previously.

> Detection and fatality rates, however, do not seem to correlate.
> This is particularly the case for Chile, where detection and
> fatality rates still remain roughly comparable to their ~unvaccinated
> neighbours.

> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).

Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

>
> - . . . and what the hell is going on in Argentina, anyways?
>
> - Peru has recently doubled it's covid fatality count. It's not
> a typo, but a correction in record keeping.

As of Jul 26:
US detections are at 104059ppm.(10.4%)
Detection rate is 157ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1846ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 102960ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 1470ppm/day
10.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 1022100ppm (102.2%) at 1700ppm/day
- with 48.8% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 37989ppm (3.8%) ~ 246 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 12ppm/day and possibly leveling below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities are 702ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.9% from a 37908ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 1440ppm/day
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 1260800ppm (126.1%) at 8800ppm/day
- with 55.2% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 71407ppm. (7.1%)
Detection rate is 71ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2116ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 70912ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 3190ppm/day.
2.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 1017900ppm (101.8%) at 8700ppm/day
- with 43.0% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 108602ppm (10.9%)
Detection rate is 36ppm/day and possibly leveling below 45ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1451ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 108358ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1020ppm/day.
3.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 1004300ppm (100.4%) at 7000ppm/day
with 39.0% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 84309ppm. (8.4%)
Detection rate is 564ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1907ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.4% from a 80359ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 15850ppm/day.
3.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 1229600ppm (123.0%) at 6500ppm/day
- with 54.4% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 92627ppm. (9.3%)
Detection rate is 210ppm/day and possibly leveling below 230ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2587ppm at 5.2ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 91158ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is possible.
Vaccinations at 620800ppm (62.1%) at 5300ppm/day
- with 17.5% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 63522ppm (6.3%)
Detection rate is 10ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 5922ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 9.3% from a 63452pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is 290ppm/day.
3.4% of tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 367600ppm (36.8%) at 5000ppm/day
- with 13.6% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 84179ppm (8.4%)
Detection rate is 69ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1832ppm at 3.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 83692ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2540ppm/day.
2.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 1323600ppm (132.4%) at 4200ppm/day
- with 63.1% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 107236ppm (10.7%)
Detection rate is 285ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2295ppm at 6.9ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 105239ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 730ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 657700ppm (66.8%) at 8000ppm/day
- with 13.3% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 21317ppm (2.1%)
Detection rate is 99ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1849ppm at 2.3ppm/day.
FR is 9.0% from a 20624ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 190ppm/day.
Test positivity values are impractical.
Vaccinations at 462100ppm (46.2%) at 6300ppm/day
- with 18.3% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 40092ppm (4.0%)
Detection rate is 200ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1176ppm at 7.0ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 38697ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 780ppm/day.
25.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 107600ppm (10.8%) at 3100ppm/day
- with 3.9% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156109ppm (15.6%)
Detection rate is 18ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2835ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156040ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 9170ppm/day.
0.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 933400ppm (93.3%) at 6200ppm/day
- with 32.9% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 22762ppm (2.3%)
Detection rate is 28ppm/day and possibly leveling below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 305ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 22568ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1370ppm/day.
2.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 315400ppm (31.5%) at 2800ppm/day
- with 6.8% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 99434ppm (9.9%)
Detection rate is 147ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 746ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 0.8% from a 98402ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 8210ppm/day.
1.8% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 1278900ppm (127.9%) at 1500ppm/day
- with 61.3% vaccinated.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com>

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 02 Aug 2021 15:08:43 -0400
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 by: legg - Mon, 2 Aug 2021 19:08 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indictaed that
Covid 19 exposure was indicated in 67% of test subjects. This
compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>
>
Comparison charts, as of Jul 31 are available:

http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg
>
>
>
Flu Season? Fatality comparison in the U.S.A.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg
Updated Jul 31
>

As of Aug 01:
US detections are at 105750ppm.(10.6%)
Detection rate is 237ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1853ppm at 1.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 104059ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 1770ppm/day
13.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 103.6% at 2000ppm/day
- with 49.3% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 38122ppm (3.8%) ~ 251 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 19ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 704ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.9% from a 37989ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 1340ppm/day
1.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 131.2% at 7300ppm/day
- with 59.4% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 72035ppm. (7.2%)
Detection rate is 88ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2118ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 71407ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 3440ppm/day.
2.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 113.4% at 7900ppm/day
- with 52.3% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 108923ppm (10.9%)
Detection rate is 46ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1451ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 108602ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 104.6% at 6000ppm/day
- with 41.3% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 87022ppm. (8.7%)
Detection rate is 398ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1915ppm at 1.2ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 84309ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 13400ppm/day.
3.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 125.5% at 3100ppm/day
- with 56.5% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 93801ppm. (9.4%)
Detection rate is 166ppm/day and possibly leveling below 180ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2620ppm at 4.6ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 92627ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 67.0% at 7200ppm/day
- with 19.5% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64091ppm (6.4%)
Detection rate is 37ppm/day and possibly leveling below 40ppm.
Fatalities are 5958ppm at 2.4ppm/day.
FR is 9.4% from a 63522pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 39.9% at 4400ppm/day
- with 15.6% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 84585ppm (8.5%)
Detection rate is 60ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1859ppm at 3.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 83619ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2790ppm/day.
2.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134.1% at 2500ppm/day
- with 64.5% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 109210ppm (10.9%)
Detection rate is 287ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2340ppm at 6.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 107236ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 690ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 71.7% at 7700ppm/day
- with 18.6% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 22143ppm (2.2%)
Detection rate is 118ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1869ppm at 2.9ppm/day.
FR is 9.0% from a 21317ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 220ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 52.2% at 7500ppm/day
- with 20.0% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 41414ppm (4.1%)
Detection rate is 191ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1217ppm at 5.8ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 40092ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 780ppm/day.
24.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 12.7% at 2800ppm/day
- with 4.8% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156289ppm (15.6%)
Detection rate is 16ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2836ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156109ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 9720ppm/day.
0.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 96.8% at 4800ppm/day
- with 45.3% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 22968ppm (2.3%)
Detection rate is 29ppm/day and possibly leveling below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 308ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 22762ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1210ppm/day.
2.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 34.2% at 3800ppm/day
- with 7.6% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 101184ppm (10.1%)
Detection rate is 241ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 748ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 0.8% from a 99434ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 10710ppm/day.
2.3% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 129.0% at 1600ppm/day
- with 62.1% vaccinated.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

> The US, UK, Chile, Canada and Italy have all issued >=~100% of
> vaccine doses, with vaccination rates of 48.1%, 53.0%, 60.4%,
> 49.2% and 43% respectively.

> This roughly equals or exceeds the vaccination rate recorded for
> the Pfizer trial in Israel in the last week of March 2021, 120 days
> previously.

> Detection and fatality rates, however, do not seem to correlate.
> This is particularly the case for Chile, where detection and
> fatality rates still remain roughly comparable to their ~unvaccinated
> neighbours.

> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

>
> - . . . and what the hell is going on in Argentina, anyways?
>
> - Peru has recently doubled it's covid fatality count. It's not
> a typo, but a correction in record keeping.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 09 Aug 2021 21:31:51 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: legg - Tue, 10 Aug 2021 01:31 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>
>
> Comparison charts, as of Jul 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg
>
>
>
> Flu Season? Fatality comparison in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg
> Updated Jul 31
>

As of Aug 09:
US detections are at 108047ppm.(10.8%)
Detection rate is 328ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1864ppm at 1.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 105750ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 2150ppm/day
15.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 105% at 2100ppm/day
- with 49.8% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 38326ppm (3.8%) ~ 258 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 29ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 705ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 38122ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 1360ppm/day
2.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134% at 4400ppm/day
- with 61.8% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 72714ppm. (7.3%)
Detection rate is 97ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2121ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 72035ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 3310ppm/day.
2.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 119% at 6700ppm/day
- with 55.3% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 109368ppm (10.9%)
Detection rate is 64ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1451ppm at 0.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 108923ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1060ppm/day.
6.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 108% at 5300ppm/day
- with 43.9% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 89829ppm. (9.0%)
Detection rate is 401ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1924ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 87022ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 11080ppm/day.
3.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 127% at 2800ppm/day
- with 58.1% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 94871ppm. (9.5%)
Detection rate is 153ppm/day and possibly leveling below 160ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2649ppm at 4.3ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 93801ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 72.0% at 7000ppm/day
- with 21.5% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64439ppm (6.4%)
Detection rate is 53ppm/day and possibly leveling below 60ppm.
Fatalities are 5973ppm at 2.2ppm/day.
FR is 9.4% from a 64091pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 43% at 6200ppm/day
- with 18.0% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 84921ppm (8.5%)
Detection rate is 48ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1884ppm at 3.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 84129ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2830ppm/day.
1.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134% at 2200ppm/day
- with 65.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 111043ppm (11.1%)
Detection rate is 263ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2378ppm at 5.3ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 109210ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 690ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 77% at 7800ppm/day
- with 18.9% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 23049ppm (2.3%)
Detection rate is 129ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1896ppm at 3.8ppm/day.
FR is 8.6% from a 22143ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 220ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 56% at 5000ppm/day
- with 21.2% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 42717ppm (4.3%)
Detection rate is 186ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1261ppm at 6.3ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 41414ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 790ppm/day.
23.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 15% at 2500ppm/day
- with 6.0% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156402ppm (15.6%)
Detection rate is 16ppm/day and leveling below 25ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2835ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156289ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 9710ppm/day.
0.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 100% at 4000ppm/day
- with 47.5% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 23167ppm (2.3%)
Detection rate is 28ppm/day and possibly leveling below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 310ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 22968ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1210ppm/day.
2.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 37% at 3800ppm/day
- with 8.2% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 104035ppm (10.4%)
Detection rate is 407ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 756ppm at 1.1ppm/day.
FR is 0.7% from a 101184ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 11940ppm/day.
3.4% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 135.0% at 8100ppm/day
- with 62.4% vaccinated.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

> The US, UK, Chile, Canada and Italy have all issued >=~100% of
> vaccine doses, with vaccination rates of 48.1%, 53.0%, 60.4%,
> 49.2% and 43% respectively.

> This roughly equals or exceeds the vaccination rate recorded for
> the Pfizer trial in Israel in the last week of March 2021, 120 days
> previously.

> Detection and fatality rates, however, do not seem to correlate.
> This is particularly the case for Chile, where detection and
> fatality rates still remain roughly comparable to their ~unvaccinated
> neighbours.

> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

>
> - . . . and what the hell is going on in Argentina, anyways?
>
> - Peru has recently doubled it's covid fatality count. It's not
> a typo, but a correction in record keeping.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 16 Aug 2021 12:32:24 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 247
Message-ID: <bl4lhgptr5givfau5mkad01fpv0apl6kqj@4ax.com>
References: <rtdasfhil5ukbo9k99fm4bqs3cubr3mb3t@4ax.com> <fs2sufdnu99r6rpt8otlspf0phact4jeqr@4ax.com> <q7hb0g5ucjogqcgkcrshp3m857era1prfa@4ax.com> <nc6g1ghr8ecvah569a54p89l076kc2o151@4ax.com> <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Mon, 16 Aug 2021 16:32 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>
>
> Comparison charts, as of Jul 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg
>
>
>
> Flu Season? Fatality comparison in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg
> Updated Jul 31
>

As of Aug 16:
US detections are at 110811ppm.(11.1%)
Detection rate is 395ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1878ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 108047ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 2460ppm/day
16.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 107% at 2100ppm/day
- with 50% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 38659ppm (3.9%) ~ 264 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 48ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 706ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 38326ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 1560ppm/day
3.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 136% at 3700ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 73446ppm. (7.3%)
Detection rate is 105ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2124ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.9% from a 72714ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 3610ppm/day.
2.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 122% at 4600ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 109923ppm (11.0%)
Detection rate is 79ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1451ppm at 0.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 109368ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1230ppm/day.
6.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 113% at 6900ppm/day
- with 47% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 92761ppm. (9.3%)
Detection rate is 419ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1934ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 89829ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 10970ppm/day.
3.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 129% at 3000ppm/day
- with 59% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 95804ppm. (9.6%)
Detection rate is 133ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2677ppm at 4.0ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 94871ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 77.0% at 7800ppm/day
- with 23% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64716ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 37ppm/day and possibly leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5987ppm at 1.9ppm/day.
FR is 9.3% from a 64439pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported (~270ppm/day).
~ 13.4% of recent tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 48% at 4100ppm/day
- with 21% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 85226ppm (8.5%)
Detection rate is 44ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1903ppm at 2.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 84632ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2790ppm/day.
1.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 140% at 3300ppm/day
- with 68.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 112502ppm (11.3%)
Detection rate is 208ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2413ppm at 5.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 111043ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 760ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 81% at 6400ppm/day
- with 22% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 23981ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 133ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1925ppm at 4.2ppm/day.
FR is 8.6% from a 23049ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 230ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 60% at 5600ppm/day
- with 23% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 43933ppm (4.4%)
Detection rate is 174ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1301ppm at 5.6ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 42717ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is unreported (~790ppm/day).
~ 22.0% of recent tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 16% at 1900ppm/day
- with 7.0% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156525ppm (15.6%)
Detection rate is 18ppm/day and leveling below 25ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2836ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156402ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 9510ppm/day.
0.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 102% at 3600ppm/day
- with 50% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 23352ppm (2.3%)
Detection rate is 26ppm/day and leveling below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 313ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 23167ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1230ppm/day.
2.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 39% at 3600ppm/day
- with 9% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 108527ppm (10.9%)
Detection rate is 642ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 770ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 0.7% from a 104035ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 13580ppm/day.
4.7% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 141.0% at 8500ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

> The US, UK, Chile, Canada and Italy have all issued >=~100% of
> vaccine doses, with vaccination rates of 48.1%, 53.0%, 60.4%,
> 49.2% and 43% respectively.

> This roughly equals or exceeds the vaccination rate recorded for
> the Pfizer trial in Israel in the last week of March 2021, 120 days
> previously.

> Detection and fatality rates, however, do not seem to correlate.
> This is particularly the case for Chile, where detection and
> fatality rates still remain roughly comparable to their ~unvaccinated
> neighbours.

> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

>
> - . . . and what the hell is going on in Argentina, anyways?
>
> - Peru has recently doubled it's covid fatality count. It's not
> a typo, but a correction in record keeping.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 23 Aug 2021 12:07:52 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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References: <rtdasfhil5ukbo9k99fm4bqs3cubr3mb3t@4ax.com> <fs2sufdnu99r6rpt8otlspf0phact4jeqr@4ax.com> <q7hb0g5ucjogqcgkcrshp3m857era1prfa@4ax.com> <nc6g1ghr8ecvah569a54p89l076kc2o151@4ax.com> <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Mon, 23 Aug 2021 16:07 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>
>
> Comparison charts, as of Jul 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg
>
>
>
> Flu Season? Fatality comparison in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg
> Updated Jul 31
>

As of Aug 23:
US detections are at 113926ppm.(11.4%)
Detection rate is 445ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1899ppm at 3.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 110811ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 2980ppm/day
14.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 108% at 2700ppm/day
- with 51% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 39095ppm (3.9%) ~ 270 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 62ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 709ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 38659ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 1740ppm/day
3.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 139% at 3300ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 74173ppm. (7.4%)
Detection rate is 104ppm/day and possibly leveling below 120ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2129ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.9% from a 73446ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 3300ppm/day.
3.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 125% at 3500ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 110561ppm (11.1%)
Detection rate is 91ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1452ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 109923ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1440ppm/day.
6.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 118% at 8000ppm/day
- with 51% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 96096ppm. (9.6%)
Detection rate is 476ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1944ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.1% from a 92761ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 10890ppm/day.
4.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 132% at 3100ppm/day
- with 61% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 96777ppm. (9.7%)
Detection rate is 139ppm/day and leveling below 150ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2703ppm at 3.7ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 95804ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 83.0% at 8100ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64941ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 32ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6000ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 9.3% from a 64716pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is 280ppm/day.
~ 11.4% of recent tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 52% at 3600ppm/day
- with 23% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 85468ppm (8.5%)
Detection rate is 35ppm/day and possibly leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1917ppm at 2.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 84921ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2770ppm/day.
1.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 146% at 7200ppm/day
- with 69.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 113591ppm (11.4%)
Detection rate is 156ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2442ppm at 4.1ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 112502ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 710ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 86% at 7200ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 25014ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 148ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1964ppm at 5.5ppm/day.
FR is 8.2% from a 23981ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 230ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 63% at 4500ppm/day
- with 24% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 45372ppm (4.5%)
Detection rate is 206ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1339ppm at 5.5ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 43933ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 820ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 18% at 2600ppm/day
- with 8.0% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156645ppm (15.7%)
Detection rate is 17ppm/day and level below 25ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2837ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156525ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 8620ppm/day.
0.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 105% at 3200ppm/day
- with 52% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 23514ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 23ppm/day and level below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 315ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 23352ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1330ppm/day.
1,7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 42% at 3500ppm/day
- with 9% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 114438ppm (11.4%)
Detection rate is 844ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 789ppm at 2.7ppm/day.
FR is 0.7% from a 108527ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 15860ppm/day.
5.3% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 148.0% at 9990ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

Doses recently applied in Israel appear to be providing
3rd dose booster reinforcement, without contributing to
completion of a vaccination schedule.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

> The US, UK, Chile, Canada and Italy have all issued >=~100% of
> vaccine doses, with vaccination rates of 48.1%, 53.0%, 60.4%,
> 49.2% and 43% respectively.

> This roughly equals or exceeds the vaccination rate recorded for
> the Pfizer trial in Israel in the last week of March 2021, 120 days
> previously.

> Detection and fatality rates, however, do not seem to correlate.
> This is particularly the case for Chile, where detection and
> fatality rates still remain roughly comparable to their ~unvaccinated
> neighbours.

> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2021 12:43:29 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 256
Message-ID: <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com>
References: <rtdasfhil5ukbo9k99fm4bqs3cubr3mb3t@4ax.com> <fs2sufdnu99r6rpt8otlspf0phact4jeqr@4ax.com> <q7hb0g5ucjogqcgkcrshp3m857era1prfa@4ax.com> <nc6g1ghr8ecvah569a54p89l076kc2o151@4ax.com> <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Mon, 30 Aug 2021 16:43 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>
>
> Comparison charts, as of Jul 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_deaths_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210731_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg
>
>
>
> Flu Season? Fatality comparison in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg
> Updated Jul 31
>

As of Aug 30:
US detections are at 116536ppm.(11.7%)
Detection rate is 466ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1915ppm at 3.9ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 113926ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3270ppm/day
14.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 110% at 2600ppm/day
- with 52% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 39332ppm (3.9%) ~ 276 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 80ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 708ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 39095ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 1840ppm/day
4.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 140% at 2800ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 75644ppm. (7.6%)
Detection rate is 108ppm/day and possibly leveling below 120ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2138ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.9% from a 74173ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 3480ppm/day.
3.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 128% at 4300ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 110570ppm (11.1%)
Detection rate is 96ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1445ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 109923ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1690ppm/day.
5.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 122% at 6600ppm/day
- with 54.5% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 99152ppm. (9.9%)
Detection rate is 501ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1946ppm at 1.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.0% from a 96096ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 10890ppm/day.
4.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 133% at 2700ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 96927ppm. (9.7%)
Detection rate is 114ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2707ppm at 3.2ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 96777ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 88.0% at 8300ppm/day
- with 29% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64368ppm (6.4%)
Detection rate is 22ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5939ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 64241pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 54% at 3900ppm/day
- with 23% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 85249ppm (8.5%)
Detection rate is 30ppm/day and possibly leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1920ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 84838ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2740ppm/day.
1.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 149% at 5300ppm/day
- with 70.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 113440ppm (11.3%)
Detection rate is 124ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2442ppm at 3.2ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 112704ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 700ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 91% at 8500ppm/day
- with 30% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 25608ppm (2.6%)
Detection rate is 121ppm/day and possibly leveling below 140ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1982ppm at 5.5ppm/day.
FR is 7.9% from a 25014ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 210ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 65% at 4100ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 46050ppm (4.6%)
Detection rate is 176ppm/day and possibly leveling below 200ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1359ppm at 5.2ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 45372ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 1130ppm/day.
15.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 20% at 3600ppm/day
- with 9.0% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156544ppm (15.7%)
Detection rate is 18ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2835ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156427ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 8440ppm/day.
0.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 107% at 2700ppm/day
- with 53% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 23495ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 30ppm/day and level below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 314ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 23306ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1310ppm/day.
2.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 45% at 5300ppm/day
- with 10% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 119640ppm (12.0%)
Detection rate is 993ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 795ppm at 2.6ppm/day.
FR is 0.7% from a 114438ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 15820ppm/day.
6.3% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 153.0% at 10500ppm/day
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.

Had serious issues this week with detection, fatality and full
immunization figures being retroactively revised downwards by
Johns Hopkins statisticians.This had the effect of a 1 week to
ten days shift in many figures reported here, with little effect
on longer-term derived stats.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

> The US, UK, Chile, Canada and Italy have all issued >=~100% of
> vaccine doses, with vaccination rates of 48.1%, 53.0%, 60.4%,
> 49.2% and 43% respectively.

> This roughly equals or exceeds the vaccination rate recorded for
> the Pfizer trial in Israel in the last week of March 2021, 120 days
> previously.

> Detection and fatality rates, however, do not seem to correlate.
> This is particularly the case for Chile, where detection and
> fatality rates still remain roughly comparable to their ~unvaccinated
> neighbours.

> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 06 Sep 2021 10:28:51 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 235
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 by: legg - Mon, 6 Sep 2021 14:28 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg

Updated Aug 31 to illustrate recent kink in data.

As of Sep 06:
US detections are at 119985ppm.(12.0%)
Detection rate is 492ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1948ppm at 4.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 116536ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 11800ppm/day
4.2% of current tests are positive, with the increased test rate.
Vaccinations at 111% at 2800ppm/day
- with 52% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 39998ppm (4.0%) ~ 282 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 95ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 711ppm at 0.4ppm/day. ~ 306 days behind the US.
FR is 1.8% from a 39332ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2040ppm/day
4.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 141% at 2600ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 75727ppm. (7.6%)
Detection rate is 98ppm/day and possibly leveling below 110ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2145ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 75644ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 4250ppm/day.
2.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 131% at 4600ppm/day
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 111270ppm (11.1%)
Detection rate is 100ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1446ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 110570ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 2570ppm/day.
3.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 126% at 6000ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 102783ppm. (10.3%)
Detection rate is 519ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1958ppm at 1.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.0% from a 99152ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 12250ppm/day.
4.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134% at 2000ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 97623ppm. (9.8%)
Detection rate is 99ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2727ppm at 2.9ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 96927ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 83.0% at 7800ppm/day
- with 31% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64600ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 33ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5950ppm at 1.6ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 64368pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 58% at 4100ppm/day
- with 25% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 85418ppm (8.5%)
Detection rate is 24ppm/day and possibly leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1931ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 85090ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2650ppm/day.
0.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 153% at 5900ppm/day
- with 72.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 114104ppm (11.4%)
Detection rate is 95ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2467ppm at 3.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 113440ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 760ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 97% at 8700ppm/day
- with 35% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 26319ppm (2.6%)
Detection rate is 102ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2020ppm at 5.5ppm/day.
FR is 7.9% from a 25608ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 170ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 67% at 3000ppm/day
- with 27% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 46966ppm (4.7%)
Detection rate is 131ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1389ppm at 4.3ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 46050ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 730ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 22% at 3100ppm/day
- with 11% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156702ppm (15.7%)
Detection rate is 23ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2835ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156544ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 7700ppm/day.
0.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 107% at 1600ppm/day
- with 54% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 23703ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 30ppm/day and level below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 316ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 23495ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1230ppm/day.
2.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 49% at 5300ppm/day
- with 11% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 127142ppm (12.7%)
Detection rate is 1072ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 820ppm at 3.5ppm/day.
FR is 0.7% from a 119640ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 15340ppm/day.
7.0% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 160.0% at 10800ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<di8vjg165tek0ggas4jfcdk7q1po83vg14@4ax.com>

 copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=75087&group=sci.electronics.design#75087

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 13 Sep 2021 15:12:38 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: legg - Mon, 13 Sep 2021 19:12 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg

> Updated Aug 31 to illustrate recent kink in data.

As of Sep 13:
US detections are at 123020ppm.(12.3%)
Detection rate is 433ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1982ppm at 4.9ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 119985ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3520ppm/day
12.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 113% at 2200ppm/day
- with 53% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 40713ppm (4.1%) ~ 288 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 102ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 716ppm at 0.7ppm/day. ~ 305 days behind the US.
FR is 1.8% from a 39998ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2050ppm/day
5.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 143% at 2200ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 76306ppm. (7.6%)
Detection rate is 83ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2152ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 75727ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 4580ppm/day.
1.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134% at 4000ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 112008ppm (11.2%)
Detection rate is 105ppm/day and possibly leveling below 110ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1447ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 111270ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 3330ppm/day.
3.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 129% at 4900ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 106437ppm. (10.6%)
Detection rate is 322ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1972ppm at 2.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.9% from a 102783ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 16010ppm/day.
2.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 135% at 1700ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 98133ppm. (9.8%)
Detection rate is 73ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2743ppm at 2.2ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 97623ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 98.0% at 6600ppm/day
- with 34% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64782ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 26ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5958ppm at 1.2ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 64782pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 62% at 5400ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 85574ppm (8.6%)
Detection rate is 22ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1938ppm at 1.1ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 85275ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2660ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 157% at 5700ppm/day
- with 72.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 114558ppm (11.5%)
Detection rate is 65ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2487ppm at 2.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 114104ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 102% at 7800ppm/day
- with 39% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 26960ppm (2.7%)
Detection rate is 92ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2055ppm at 5.1ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 26319ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 170ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 70% at 5200ppm/day
- with 30% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 47603ppm (4.8%)
Detection rate is 91ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1414ppm at 3.5ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 46966ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 24% at 3900ppm/day
- with 12% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 156946ppm (15.7%)
Detection rate is 35ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2836ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156702ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 6900ppm/day.
0.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 108% at 1100ppm/day
- with 54% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 23873ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 24ppm/day and level below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 318ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 23703ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1210ppm/day.
2.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 53% at 5700ppm/day
- with 13% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 133336ppm (13.3%)
Detection rate is 888ppm/day and possibly leveling below 1000ppm/day.
Fatalities at 840ppm at 2.9ppm/day.
FR is 0.7% from a 127142ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 11990ppm/day.
7.4% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 164.0% at 4400ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
The same seems to be true in Chile.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07.
..
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<s2mikgdb5h9j67fb5fdftuvdnfkqrd8vr7@4ax.com>

 copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=76293&group=sci.electronics.design#76293

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 20 Sep 2021 23:59:11 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 232
Message-ID: <s2mikgdb5h9j67fb5fdftuvdnfkqrd8vr7@4ax.com>
References: <q7hb0g5ucjogqcgkcrshp3m857era1prfa@4ax.com> <nc6g1ghr8ecvah569a54p89l076kc2o151@4ax.com> <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com> <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com> <gc9cjg5jlsqu57gc18cj2feq87ujbrpged@4ax.com>
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X-Newsreader: Forte Agent 4.2/32.1118
 by: legg - Tue, 21 Sep 2021 03:59 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg

> Updated Aug 31 to illustrate recent kink in data.

As of Sep 20:
US detections are at 126423ppm.(12.6%)
Detection rate is 442ppm/day and possibly leveling below 470ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2024ppm at 5.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 123020ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3640ppm/day
12.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 115% at 2300ppm/day
- with 54% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 41531ppm (4.2%) ~ 293 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 117ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 721ppm at 0.7ppm/day. ~ 315 days behind the US.
FR is 1.8% from a 40713ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2380ppm/day
4.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 145% at 2500ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 76798ppm. (7.7%)
Detection rate is 70ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2159ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 76306ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 4610ppm/day.
1.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 137% at 3500ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 112693ppm (11.3%)
Detection rate is 98ppm/day and possibly leveling below 110ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1454ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 112008ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 3690ppm/day.
2.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 132% at 3700ppm/day
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 109443ppm. (10.9%)
Detection rate is 429ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1987ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.9% from a 106437ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 15210ppm/day.
2.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 136% at 1200ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 99254ppm. (9.9%)
Detection rate is 160ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2761ppm at 2.6ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 98133ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 104% at 6900ppm/day
- with 37% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 64959ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5967ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 64782pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 70% at 7900ppm/day
- with 28% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 85750ppm (8.6%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1945ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 85418ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2560ppm/day.
1.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 160% at 4300ppm/day
- with 73.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 114881ppm (11.5%)
Detection rate is 46ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2509ppm at 3.2ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 114558ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 107% at 6100ppm/day
- with 43% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 27404ppm (2.7%)
Detection rate is 63ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2084ppm at 4.1ppm/day.
FR is 7.7% from a 26960ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 170ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 73% at 3900ppm/day
- with 32% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48010ppm (4.8%)
Detection rate is 58ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1435ppm at 3.1ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 47603ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 27% at 3100ppm/day
- with 13% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 157226ppm (15.7%)
Detection rate is 40ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2837ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 156946ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 6140ppm/day.
0.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 109% at 900ppm/day
- with 55% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24026ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 22ppm/day and level below 35ppm/day.
Fatalities at 319ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 23873ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1150ppm/day.
1.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 58% at 6600ppm/day
- with 14% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 139722ppm (14.0%)
Detection rate is 908ppm/day and possibly leveling below 1000ppm/day.
Fatalities at 858ppm at 2.6ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 133336ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 17650ppm/day.
5.1% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 168.0% at 4500ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
The same seems to be true also in Chile and the UK.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<92n4lg1ee4tnukhm7afo62us7o8aek0ue0@4ax.com>

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https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=76987&group=sci.electronics.design#76987

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 27 Sep 2021 20:05:46 -0400
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 by: legg - Tue, 28 Sep 2021 00:05 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_023.jpg

> Updated Aug 31 to illustrate recent kink in data.

As of Sep 27:
US detections are at 126423ppm.(12.6%)
Detection rate is 359ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2066ppm at 6.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 126423ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 4740ppm/day
7.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 116% at 4900ppm/day
- with 55% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 42271ppm (4.2%) ~ 299 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 106ppm/day and possibly leveling below 120ppm/day.
Fatalities are 727ppm at 0.9ppm/day. ~ 320 days behind the US.
FR is 1.8% from a 41531ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2690ppm/day
3.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 147% at 2900ppm/day
- with 70% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 77199ppm. (7.7%)
Detection rate is 57ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2164ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 76798ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 4670ppm/day.
1.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 139% at 3600ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 113129ppm (11.3%)
Detection rate is 62ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1459ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 112693ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 2930ppm/day.
2.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134% at 2900ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 112897ppm. (11.3%)
Detection rate is 493ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2001ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 109443ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 13860ppm/day.
3.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 137% at 900ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 99779ppm. (10%)
Detection rate is 75ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2777ppm at 2.5ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 99254ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 108% at 6400ppm/day
- with 41% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 65140ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 26ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5972ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 64959pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is 330ppm/day.
7.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 76% at 4700ppm/day
- with 30% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 85973ppm (8.6%)
Detection rate is 32ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1948ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 85598ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2270ppm/day.
1.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 164% at 5700ppm/day
- with 73.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 115126ppm (11.5%)
Detection rate is 35ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2518ppm at 1.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 114881ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 570ppm/day.
6.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 111% at 6000ppm/day
- with 47% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 27880ppm (2.8%)
Detection rate is 69ppm/day and possibly leveling below 80ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2109ppm at 4.3ppm/day.
FR is 7.7% from a 27404ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 130ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 76% at 4300ppm/day
- with 34% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48249ppm (4.8%)
Detection rate is 34ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1449ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 48010ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 610ppm/day.
5.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 28% at 2000ppm/day
- with 14% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 157523ppm (15.8%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2839ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 157226ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 6580ppm/day.
0.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 110% at 800ppm/day
- with 53% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24170ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 21ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities at 321ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 24026ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1090ppm/day.
1.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 61% at 5200ppm/day
- with 16% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 144054ppm (14.4%)
Detection rate is 619ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 870ppm at 2.2ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 139722ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 147400ppm/day.
4.2% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 170.0% at 3100ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

> Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
> reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
> The same seems to be true also in Chile and the UK.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<4i0plgps4aqj115kj5l7mvf7hfh678a8at@4ax.com>

 copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=77858&group=sci.electronics.design#77858

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Tue, 05 Oct 2021 12:52:49 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: legg - Tue, 5 Oct 2021 16:52 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_025b.jpg

Updated Sep 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

As of Oct 04:
US detections are at 131722ppm.(13.2%)
Detection rate is 316ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2112ppm at 5.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 126423ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 4040ppm/day
7.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 118% at 2700ppm/day
- with 55% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 43316ppm (4.3%) ~ 304 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 107ppm/day and possibly leveling below 120ppm/day.
Fatalities are 737ppm at 1.2ppm/day. ~ 325 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 42271ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2890ppm/day
3.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 149% at 2200ppm/day
- with 71% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 77586ppm. (7.8%)
Detection rate is 51ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2171ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 77199ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 4740ppm/day.
1.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 141% at 2700ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 113541ppm (11.4%)
Detection rate is 60ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1463ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 113129ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 2280ppm/day.
2.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 136% at 2500ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 116884ppm. (11.7%)
Detection rate is 491ppm/day and possibly leveling below 500ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2014ppm at 1.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 112897ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 12700ppm/day.
3.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 138% at 900ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 100374ppm. (10%)
Detection rate is 75ppm/day and possibly leveling below 80ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2795ppm at 2.3ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 99779ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 113% at 6500ppm/day
- with 44% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 65317ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 24ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5980ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 65140pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is 310ppm/day.
7.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 83% at 7200ppm/day
- with 34% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 86260ppm (8.6%)
Detection rate is 36ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1952ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 85750ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2960ppm/day.
1.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 169% at 7200ppm/day
- with 74.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 115352ppm (11.5%)
Detection rate is 28ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2528ppm at 1.2ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 115126ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 1010ppm/day.
2.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 116% at 5600ppm/day
- with 50% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 28283ppm (2.8%)
Detection rate is 53ppm/day and possibly leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2143ppm at 3.5ppm/day.
FR is 7.7% from a 27880ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 120ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 79% at 3800ppm/day
- with 35% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48414ppm (4.8%)
Detection rate is 22ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1463ppm at 1.7ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 48249ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 500ppm/day.
4.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 30% at 2500ppm/day
- with 15% fully vaccinated.

Czech detections at 157965ppm (15.8%)
Detection rate is 60ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2842ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 157523ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 5760ppm/day.
1.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 110% at 600ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24295ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 16ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities at 322ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 24170ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 1010ppm/day.
1.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 65% at 4300ppm/day
- with 18% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 147159ppm (14.7%)
Detection rate is 378ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 893ppm at 2.4ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 144054ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 11590ppm/day.
3.3% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 175% at 6800ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
The same seems to be true also in Chile.

Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 56% in the US
and the Czech Republic.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.

<snip>

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<itpbmghshbossk93g3ebgc5eqcp867fnda@4ax.com>

 copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=79021&group=sci.electronics.design#79021

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Tue, 12 Oct 2021 15:53:57 -0400
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 by: legg - Tue, 12 Oct 2021 19:53 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_025b.jpg

> Updated Sep 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

As of Oct 11:
US detections are at 133535ppm.(13.4%)
Detection rate is 259ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2145ppm at 4.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 131722ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 4570ppm/day
5.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 119% at 2900ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 43817ppm (4.4%) ~ 310 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 72ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 742ppm at 0.8ppm/day. ~ 336 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 43316ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2200ppm/day
3.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 150% at 2200ppm/day
- with 72% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 77887ppm. (7.8%)
Detection rate is 43ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2176ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 77586ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 4570ppm/day.
0.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 143% at 2500ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 113957ppm (11.4%)
Detection rate is 59ppm/day and possibly leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1467ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 113541ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 2500ppm/day.
2.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are unreported at 2500ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 120696ppm. (12.1%)
Detection rate is 545ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2026ppm at 1.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 116884ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 13420ppm/day.
4.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 138% at 900ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 100857ppm. (10.1%)
Detection rate is 70ppm/day and possibly leveling below 80ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2809ppm at 2.0ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 100374ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 117% at 5200ppm/day
- with 47% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 65489ppm (6.5%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5984ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 65317pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 88% at 7900ppm/day
- with 38% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 86579ppm (8.7%)
Detection rate is 56ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1956ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 86028ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2790ppm/day.
2.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 174% at 5900ppm/day
- with 74.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 115474ppm (11.5%)
Detection rate is 17ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2532ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 115352ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 940ppm/day.
1.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 119% at 4500ppm/day
- with 52% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 28598ppm (2.9%)
Detection rate is 45ppm/day and possibly leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2167ppm at 3.4ppm/day.
FR is 7.7% from a 28283ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 120ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 82% at 4100ppm/day
- with 37% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48505ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 13ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1471ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 48414ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 510ppm/day.
2.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 32% at 2500ppm/day
- with 17% fully vaccinated - an impossibility (double rounding
error?)

Czech detections at 158522ppm (15.9%)
Detection rate is 80ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2844ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 157965ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 5740ppm/day.
1.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 111% at 600ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.(another rounding error?)

India detections at 24390ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 14ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities at 324ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 24295ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 960ppm/day.
1.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 69% at 4600ppm/day
- with 19% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 149794ppm (15.0%)
Detection rate is 234ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 903ppm at 1.6ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 147159ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 11240ppm/day.
2.1% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 178% at 4500ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated.

> Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
> reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
> The same seems to be true also in Chile.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 56% in the US
> and the Czech Republic.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> The UK and S.Africa both exhibited increasing detection rates
> after June 07. Fatality rates in the UK do not yet reflect
> an increased case count ( historically expected after 21 days).
> S.Africa deaths have followed their detections more closely,
> possibly due to low test rates (for asymptomatic carriers).
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<64gtmgps7sth1tiq6j193kvfp2k2ke178l@4ax.com>

 copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=79791&group=sci.electronics.design#79791

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Tue, 19 Oct 2021 08:57:50 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 229
Message-ID: <64gtmgps7sth1tiq6j193kvfp2k2ke178l@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Tue, 19 Oct 2021 12:57 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_025b.jpg

> Updated Sep 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

As of Oct 18:
US detections are at 134969ppm.(13.5%)
Detection rate is 259ppm/day and leveling below 280ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2176ppm at 4.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 133535ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3520ppm/day
7.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 121% at 2500ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 44339ppm (4.4%) ~ 317 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 72ppm/day and leveling below 80ppm/day.
Fatalities are 744ppm at 1.1ppm/day. ~ 335 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 43817ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2470ppm/day
2.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 151% at 2000ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 78153ppm. (7.8%)
Detection rate is 43ppm/day and leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2179ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 77887ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 4540ppm/day.
0.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 145% at 3000ppm/day
- with 70% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 114362ppm (11.4%)
Detection rate is 59ppm/day and possibly leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1472ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 113957ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations are at 134% at 2500ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 124455ppm. (12.4%)
Detection rate is 545ppm/day and possibly leveling below 560ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2038ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 120696ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 13450ppm/day.
4.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 139% at 900ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 101145ppm. (10.1%)
Detection rate is 70ppm/day and leveling below 80ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2819ppm at 1.5ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 100857ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 120% at 5600ppm/day
- with 50% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 65649ppm (6.6%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5991ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 9.2% from a 65489pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 94% at 5200ppm/day
- with 42% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 86962ppm (8.7%)
Detection rate is 46ppm/day and possibly leveling below 60ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1958ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 86579ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2530ppm/day.
1.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 178% at 5500ppm/day
- with 75.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 115611ppm (11.6%)
Detection rate is 17ppm/day and leveling below 25ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2536ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 115474ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 122% at 5600ppm/day
- with 54% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 28842ppm (2.9%)
Detection rate is 45ppm/day and leveling below 60ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2183ppm at 2.5ppm/day.
FR is 7.7% from a 28598ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 130ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 86% at 5300ppm/day
- with 40% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48576ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 13ppm/day and leveling below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1475ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 48505ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 450ppm/day.
2.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 33% at 3000ppm/day
- with 18% fully vaccinated - an impossibility (double rounding
error?)

Czech detections at 159347ppm (15.9%)
Detection rate is 80ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2848ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 158522ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 5970ppm/day.
1.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 111% at 500ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.(another rounding error?)

India detections at 24459ppm (2.4%)
Detection rate is 14ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities at 324ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 24390ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 920ppm/day.
1.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 70% at 2600ppm/day
- with 20% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 149755ppm (15.0%)
Detection rate is 234ppm/day and leveling below 250ppm/day.
Fatalities at 907ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 148794ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 11020ppm/day.
2.1% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 179% at 2000ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated.

> Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
> reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
> The same seems to be true also in Chile.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 56% in the US
> and the Czech Republic.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<62pdng1bb646ps3e12dftflmi3rtg49gi5@4ax.com>

 copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=80368&group=sci.electronics.design#80368

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
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Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 25 Oct 2021 13:08:07 -0400
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 by: legg - Mon, 25 Oct 2021 17:08 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_025b.jpg

> Updated Sep 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

As of Oct 25:
US detections are at 136454ppm.(13.6%)
Detection rate is 219ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2211ppm at 5.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 134969ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3500ppm/day
6.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 123% at 2300ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 44792ppm (4.5%) ~ 314 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 69ppm/day and leveling below 80ppm/day.
Fatalities are 757ppm at 1.0ppm/day. ~ 341 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 44339ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2440ppm/day
2.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 153% at 2000ppm/day
- with 74% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 78477ppm. (7.8%)
Detection rate is 55ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2184ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 78153ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 7220ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 147% at 2600ppm/day
- with 71% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 114762ppm (11.5%)
Detection rate is 57ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1472ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 114362ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 2020ppm/day.
2.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 141% at 2900ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 129235ppm. (12.9%)
Detection rate is 680ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2052ppm at 2.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 124455ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 14020ppm/day.
4.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 142% at 1000ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 101515ppm. (10.2%)
Detection rate is 57ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2830ppm at 1.6ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 101145ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 126% at 7600ppm/day
- with 54% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 65802ppm (6.6%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 5997ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 65649pm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is 280ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 100% at 5100ppm/day
- with 44% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 87445ppm (8.7%)
Detection rate is 82ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1961ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 86579ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2820ppm/day.
2.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 184% at 8300ppm/day
- with 76.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 115771ppm (11.6%)
Detection rate is 24ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2540ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 115611ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 780ppm/day.
3.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 127% at 7000ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29031ppm (2.9%)
Detection rate is 27ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2198ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 28842ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 110ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 88% at 3900ppm/day
- with 41% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48627ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 7ppm/day and leveling below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1481ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 48576ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 460ppm/day.
1.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 35% at 3000ppm/day
Full vaccinations are unreported (~17%)

Czech detections at 161003ppm (16.1%)
Detection rate is 274ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2855ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 159347ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 6820ppm/day.
4.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 112% at 700ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.(another rounding error?)

India detections at 24527ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 11ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities at 326ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 24459ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 830ppm/day.
1.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 73% at 4700ppm/day
- with 22% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 150447ppm (15.0%)
Detection rate is 110ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 916ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 149755ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 10430ppm/day.
1.1% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 180% at 1400ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Romania - 21.6ppm/day
Armenia - 11.3ppm/day
Ukraine - 11.2ppm/day
Lithuania - 10.3ppm/day
Bosnia - 9.3ppm/day
Surinam - 8.7ppm/day
Serbia - 8.4ppm/day
Russia - 7.0ppm/day
USA - 5.1ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
> reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
> The same seems to be true also in Chile.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 56% in the US
> and the Czech Republic.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<pr51oghhnscrbfvp6o92l8orpcsdm1enc9@4ax.com>

 copy mid

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 01 Nov 2021 21:42:47 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 244
Message-ID: <pr51oghhnscrbfvp6o92l8orpcsdm1enc9@4ax.com>
References: <nc6g1ghr8ecvah569a54p89l076kc2o151@4ax.com> <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com> <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com> <gc9cjg5jlsqu57gc18cj2feq87ujbrpged@4ax.com> <4i0plgps4aqj115kj5l7mvf7hfh678a8at@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Tue, 2 Nov 2021 01:42 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_025b.jpg

> Updated Sep 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

As of Nov 01:
US detections are at 138086ppm.(13.8%)
Detection rate is 218ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2240ppm at 4.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 136454ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3340ppm/day
6.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 125% at 3300ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 45247ppm (4.5%) ~ 328 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 57ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 762ppm at 0.8ppm/day. ~ 350 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 44792ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2250ppm/day
2.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 154% at 1900ppm/day
- with 74% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 79049ppm. (7.9%)
Detection rate is 73ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2188ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 78477ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 7770ppm/day.
0.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 149% at 2700ppm/day
- with 71% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 115304ppm (11.5%)
Detection rate is 78ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1479ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 114762ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1780ppm/day.
4.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 143% at 2700ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 133424ppm. (13.3%)
Detection rate is 680ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2052ppm at 2.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 129235ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 14020ppm/day.
4.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 142% at 1000ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 101923ppm. (10.2%)
Detection rate is 54ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2840ppm at 1.5ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 101515ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 126% at 8100ppm/day
- with 55% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 66002ppm. (6.6%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6002ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 65802ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is 330ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 104% at 3900ppm/day
- with 46% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 88227ppm (8.8%)
Detection rate is 98ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1965ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 86962ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 3170ppm/day.
3.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 192% at 11100ppm/day
- with 79.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 115978ppm (11.6%)
Detection rate is 26ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2542ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 115771ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 780ppm/day.
3.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 131% at 6600ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29227ppm (2.9%)
Detection rate is 28ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2214ppm at 2.3ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29031ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 100ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 97% at 12200ppm/day
- with 47% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48668ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 6ppm/day and leveling below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1485ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 48627ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 450ppm/day.
1.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 37% at 2500ppm/day
- with 20% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 164380ppm (16.4%)
Detection rate is 445ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2868ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 161003ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 9300ppm/day.
4.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 114% at 3200ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.(another rounding error?)

India detections at 24606ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 10ppm/day and level below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities at 329ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 24527ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 900ppm/day.
1.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 76% at 4600ppm/day
- with 24% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 151023ppm (15.1%)
Detection rate is 71ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 922ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 150447ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 8600ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 181% at 1200ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Romania - 22.9ppm/day
Bulgaria - 19.2ppm/day
Latvia - 17.2ppm/day
Armenia - 15.2ppm/day
Ukraine - 13.4ppm/day
Georgia - 10.9ppm/day
Serbia - 9.2ppm/day
Surinam - 8.2ppm/day
Bosnia - 7.6ppm/day
Russia - 7.6ppm/day
Croatia - 6.4ppm
Macedonia - 5.6ppm

> Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
> reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
> The same seems to be true also in Chile.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 56% in the US
> and the Czech Republic.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.

RL

Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

<143kog16octre7fn7ldmie8180eauh5dsp@4ax.com>

 copy mid

https://www.novabbs.com/tech/article-flat.php?id=81943&group=sci.electronics.design#81943

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Tue, 09 Nov 2021 00:54:11 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 254
Message-ID: <143kog16octre7fn7ldmie8180eauh5dsp@4ax.com>
References: <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com> <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com> <gc9cjg5jlsqu57gc18cj2feq87ujbrpged@4ax.com> <4i0plgps4aqj115kj5l7mvf7hfh678a8at@4ax.com> <pr51oghhnscrbfvp6o92l8orpcsdm1enc9@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Tue, 9 Nov 2021 05:54 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_025b.jpg

> Updated Sep 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

As of Nov 08:
US detections are at 140015ppm.(14.0%)
Detection rate is 220ppm/day and leveling below 240ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2270ppm at 3.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 138086ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3290ppm/day
6.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 128% at 3290ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 45795ppm (4.6%) ~ 335 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 62ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 768ppm at 0.6ppm/day. ~ 354 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 45247ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2200ppm/day
2.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 155% at 1600ppm/day
- with 75% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 79722ppm. (8.0%)
Detection rate is 89ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2194ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 79049ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 6910ppm/day.
1.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 151% at 2400ppm/day
- with 72% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 115854ppm (11.6%)
Detection rate is 78ppm/day and leveling below 90ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1482ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 115304ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1770ppm/day.
4.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 145% at 2400ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 137512ppm. (13.8%)
Detection rate is 500ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2086ppm at 2.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 133424ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 12600ppm/day.
4.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 156% at 5300ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 102275ppm. (10.2%)
Detection rate is 48ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2849ppm at 1.1ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 101923ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 131% at 4000ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 66135ppm. (6.6%)
Detection rate is 24ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6009ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 66002ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 108% at 5500ppm/day
- with 48% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 89080ppm (8.9%)
Detection rate is 109ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1972ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.3% from a 87623ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2960ppm/day.
3.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 196% at 8000ppm/day
- with 80.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 116171ppm (11.6%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2547ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 115978ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 880ppm/day.
2.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 135% at 4500ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29378ppm (2.9%)
Detection rate is 21ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2224ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29227ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 80ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 98% at 5400ppm/day
- with 47% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48700ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 4ppm/day and leveling below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1488ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 3.1% from a 48668ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 400ppm/day.
1.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 39% at 1700ppm/day
- with 21% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 169626ppm (17.0%)
Detection rate is 713ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2896ppm at 3.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.8% from a 164380ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 8290ppm/day.
8.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 117% at 3290ppm/day
- with 57% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24664ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 7ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 331ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 24606ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 810ppm/day.
0.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 78% at 2200ppm/day
- with 24% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at {143662ppm} (14.4%) {- a 5% reduction ??? }
Detection rate is 101ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 874ppm at 0.3ppm/day. {- a 5.5% reduction ???}
FR is 0.6% from a {142957ppm} detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 8830ppm/day.
1.1% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at {172%} at 900ppm/day {- a 5.2% reduction ???}
- with {62%} fully vaccinated. {- a 3% reduction ???}

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Bulgaria - 22.8ppm/day
Romania - 21.8ppm/day
Ukraine - 15.6ppm/day
Armenia - 15.5ppm/day
Georgia - 15.1ppm/day
Latvia - 11.8ppm/day
Croatia - 10.3ppm
Bosnia - 10.2ppm/day
Serbia - 9.4ppm/day
Estonia - 8.3ppm/day
Russia - 7.9ppm/day
Macedonia - 6.7ppm/day
Slovenia - 6.0ppm/day
Surinam - 8.2ppm/day
Greece - 5.1ppm/day

Reporting statistics from Israel exhibited an unexplained
retroactive reduction (~3.0 to 5.5%) in accumulated detections,
fatalities and vaccinations, prior to Nov08.This is possibly a
truncation of accumulated figures to reflect a 12 month
statistical grouping . . . but it doesn't show up in any other
Johns Hopkins data.

> Doses applied in Israel appear to be providing 3rd dose booster
> reinforcement, without contributing to completed vaccinations.
> The same seems to be true also in Chile.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 56% in the US
> and the Czech Republic.

>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 15 Nov 2021 13:02:22 -0500
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 by: legg - Mon, 15 Nov 2021 18:02 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_026b.jpg

Updated Oct 31 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Nov 08:
US detections are at 141400ppm.(14.1%)
Detection rate is 246ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2292ppm at 3.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 140015ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3420ppm/day
7.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 131% at 2400ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 46140ppm (4.6%) ~ 342 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 67ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 772ppm at 0.7ppm/day. ~ 359 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 45795ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2320ppm/day
2.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 156% at 1700ppm/day
- with 75% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 80508ppm. (8.1%)
Detection rate is 123ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2199ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 2.8% from a 79722ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 8160ppm/day.
1.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 153% at 3000ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 116383ppm (11.6%)
Detection rate is 76ppm/day and leveling below 90ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1484ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 115854ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1260ppm/day.
6.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 147% at 2800ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 140873ppm. (14.1%)
Detection rate is 548ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2102ppm at 2.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 137512ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 12550ppm/day.
4.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 160% at 6300ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 102610ppm. (10.3%)
Detection rate is 52ppm/day and leveling below 70ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2857ppm at 1.2ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 102275ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 139% at 12100ppm/day
- with 59% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 66384ppm. (6.6%)
Detection rate is 30ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 6014ppm at 0.9ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 66135ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 113% at 5500ppm/day
- with 49% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 90384ppm (9.0%)
Detection rate is 203ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1977ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 88317ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 3740ppm/day.
5.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 203% at 7300ppm/day
- with 82.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 116339ppm (11.6%)
Detection rate is 28ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2549ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 116171ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 138% at 4300ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29516ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 20ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2235ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29378ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 100ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 100% at 1700ppm/day
- with 48% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48727ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 4ppm/day and leveling below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1495ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 3.1% from a 48700ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 470ppm/day.
0.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 40% at 1900ppm/day
- with 22% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 176269ppm (17.6%)
Detection rate is 989ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2935ppm at 6.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 169626ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 8400ppm/day.
11.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 119% at 3300ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24722ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 8ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 333ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24664ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 820ppm/day.
1.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 81% at 4100ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 143923ppm (14.4%)
Detection rate is 49ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 876ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 143662ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 7530ppm/day.
0.6% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 173% at 700ppm/day.
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Bulgaria - 25.0ppm/day
Latvia - 20.1ppm/day
Georgia - 19.4ppm/day
Romania - 17.3ppm/day
Armenia - 16.7ppm/day
Ukraine - 15.9ppm/day
Croatia - 13.3ppm/day
Lithuania - 10.9ppm/day
Bosnia - 10.7ppm/day
Hungary - 10.1ppm/day
Serbia - 9.0ppm/day
Russia - 8.2ppm/day
Slovakia - 8.1ppm/day
Slovenia - 7.6ppm/day
Estonia - 6.8ppm/day
Macedonia - 6.6ppm/day
Greece - 6.5ppm/day
Czechia - 6.1ppm/day
Surinam - 5.3ppm/day

Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 60% in the US,
Czechia and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Reporting statistics from Israel exhibited an unexplained retroactive
> reduction (~3%) in accumulated detections, fatalities and vaccinations,
> prior to Nov08.This is possibly a truncation of accumulated figures to
> reflect a 12 month statistical grouping . . . but it doesn't show up
> in any other Johns Hopkins data.
>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 22 Nov 2021 13:30:31 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 262
Message-ID: <qconpg1objml6vqu434g91qj07j0ue01un@4ax.com>
References: <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com> <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com> <gc9cjg5jlsqu57gc18cj2feq87ujbrpged@4ax.com> <4i0plgps4aqj115kj5l7mvf7hfh678a8at@4ax.com> <pr51oghhnscrbfvp6o92l8orpcsdm1enc9@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Mon, 22 Nov 2021 18:30 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_026b.jpg

> Updated Oct 31 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Nov 22:
US detections are at 143372ppm.(14.3%)
Detection rate is 277ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2316ppm at 3.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 141400ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3750ppm/day
7.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134% at 2900ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 46600ppm (4.7%) ~ 347 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 66ppm/day and possibly leveling below 80ppm/day.
Fatalities are 776ppm at 0.6ppm/day. ~ 365 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 46140ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2150ppm/day
3.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 157% at 1600ppm/day
- with 76% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 81595ppm. (8.2%)
Detection rate is 155ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2206ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 80508ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 8480ppm/day.
1.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 155% at 3100ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 117000ppm (11.7%)
Detection rate is 88ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1487ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 116383ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations are at 150% at 4900ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 140873ppm. (14.1%)
Detection rate is 548ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2102ppm at 2.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 140873ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 12550ppm/day.
4.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 160% at 6300ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated

Brazil detections at 102888ppm. (10.3%)
Detection rate is 40ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2863ppm at 1.0ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 102610ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 139% at 11300ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 66678ppm. (6.7%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 6021ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 66384ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 117% at 4800ppm/day
- with 51% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 90730ppm (9.1%)
Detection rate is 124ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1984ppm at 1.1ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 89982ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 3770ppm/day.
3.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 208% at 6700ppm/day
- with 83.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 116550ppm (11.7%)
Detection rate is 30ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2552ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 116339ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 144% at 9300ppm/day
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29649ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 19ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2244ppm at 1.4ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29516ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 80ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 100% at 1300ppm/day
- with 49% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 48797ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 10ppm/day and leveling below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1492ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 3.1% from a 48727ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 470ppm/day.
2.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 41% at 1700ppm/day
- with 23% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 186049ppm (18.6%)
Detection rate is 1397ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2991ppm at 8.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 176269ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 9460ppm/day.
14.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 121% at 3200ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24773ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 7ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 334ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24722ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 860ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 84% at 4600ppm/day
- with 29% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 144272ppm (14.4%)
Detection rate is 50ppm/day and possibly leveling below 60ppm/day.
Fatalities at 880ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 143923ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 7920ppm/day.
0.6% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 173% at 600ppm/day.
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Bulgaria - 20.2ppm/day
Georgia - 18.8ppm/day
Ukraine - 15.7ppm/day
Croatia - 14.8ppm/day
Latvia - 14.4ppm/day
Romania - 14.1ppm/day
Hungary - 13.5ppm/day
Armenia - 12.6ppm/day
Bosnia - 11.3ppm/day
Lithuania - 10.8ppm/day
Slovakia - 8.5ppm/day
Slovenia - 8.4ppm/day
Russia - 8.3ppm/day
Czechia - 8.0ppm/day
Serbia - 8.0ppm/day
Greece - 7.5ppm/day
Macedonia - 7.4ppm/day
Poland - 7.4ppm/day
Estonia - 6.7ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 60% in the US,
> Czechia and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> Reporting statistics from Israel exhibited an unexplained retroactive
> reduction (~3%) in accumulated detections, fatalities and vaccinations,
> prior to Nov08.This is possibly a truncation of accumulated figures to
> reflect a 12 month statistical grouping . . . but it doesn't show up
> in any other Johns Hopkins data.
>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
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Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 29 Nov 2021 18:38:46 -0500
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 by: legg - Mon, 29 Nov 2021 23:38 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Aug 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/210831_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_026b.jpg

> Updated Oct 31 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Nov 29:
US detections are at 144869ppm.(14.5%)
Detection rate is 211ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2333ppm at 2.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 143372ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3290ppm/day
6.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 135% at 2500ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 47134ppm (4.7%) ~ 353 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 76ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 780ppm at 0.5ppm/day. ~ 371 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 46600ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2280ppm/day
3.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 159% at 1600ppm/day
- with 76% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 82956ppm. (8.3%)
Detection rate is 194ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2214ppm at 1.2ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 81595ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 8800ppm/day.
2.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 158% at 4500ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 117995ppm (11.8%)
Detection rate is 142ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1491ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 117000ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1780ppm/day.
7.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 154% at 5000ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 149579ppm. (15.0%)
Detection rate is 639ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2129ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 140873ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 13790ppm/day.
4.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 168% at 5900ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated. reduction?

Brazil detections at 103185ppm. (10.3%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2871ppm at 1.1ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 102888ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is 130ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations are unreported at 3600ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 66970ppm. (6.7%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6028ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 66678ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 123% at 6200ppm/day
- with 54% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 91577ppm (9.2%)
Detection rate is 121ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1994ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 90843ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 3660ppm/day.
3.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 212% at 5100ppm/day
- with 84.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 116793ppm (11.7%)
Detection rate is 35ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2555ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 116550ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 690ppm/day.
5.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 148% at 5500ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29808ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 23ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2256ppm at 1.6ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29649ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 100ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 101% at 1400ppm/day
- with 50% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 49322ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 31ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1496ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 3.1% from a 48797ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 570ppm/day.
5.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 42% at 1500ppm/day
- with 24% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 198832ppm (19.9%)
Detection rate is 1826ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 3070ppm at 11.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 186049ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 10240ppm/day.
17.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 125% at 4400ppm/day
- with 59% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24817ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 6ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 336ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24773ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 790ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 87% at 5000ppm/day
- with 31% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 144463ppm (14.4%)
Detection rate is 27ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities at 881ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 144272ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 8180ppm/day.
0.3% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 174% at 1100ppm/day.
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Bulgaria - 17.6ppm/day
Hungary - 16.1ppm/day
Croatia - 16.0ppm/day
Georgia - 15.4ppm/day
Latvia - 15.0ppm/day
Ukraine - 13.4ppm/day
Czechia - 13.2ppm/day
Armenia - 11.4ppm/day
Slovakia - 10.8ppm/day
Bosnia - 10.4ppm/day
Romania - 9.8ppm/day
Lithuania - 9.1ppm/day
Greece - 8.9ppm/day
Slovenia - 8.6ppm/day
Poland - 8.4ppm/day
Russia - 8.2ppm/day
Serbia - 7.6ppm/day
Macedonia - 7.6ppm/day
Estonia - 6.0ppm/day
Austria - 5.9ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 60% in the US,
> Czechia and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> Reporting statistics from Israel exhibited an unexplained retroactive
> reduction (~3%) in accumulated detections, fatalities and vaccinations,
> prior to Nov08.This is possibly a truncation of accumulated figures to
> reflect a 12 month statistical grouping . . . but it doesn't show up
> in any other Johns Hopkins data.
>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Thu, 02 Dec 2021 09:08:35 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 263
Message-ID: <4qkhqgp8jme81ss002hi3fg35j5s06oe0a@4ax.com>
References: <c02r3gpeh0s3d3psphtadao10oma5f87ke@4ax.com> <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com> <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com> <gc9cjg5jlsqu57gc18cj2feq87ujbrpged@4ax.com> <4i0plgps4aqj115kj5l7mvf7hfh678a8at@4ax.com> <pr51oghhnscrbfvp6o92l8orpcsdm1enc9@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Thu, 2 Dec 2021 14:08 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

Comparison charts, as of Nov 30 are available:

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_027b.jpg

Updated Nov 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Nov 29:
US detections are at 144869ppm.(14.5%)
Detection rate is 211ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2333ppm at 2.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 143372ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 3290ppm/day
6.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 135% at 2500ppm/day
- with 58% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 47134ppm (4.7%) ~ 353 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 76ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 780ppm at 0.5ppm/day. ~ 371 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 46600ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2280ppm/day
3.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 159% at 1600ppm/day
- with 76% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 82956ppm. (8.3%)
Detection rate is 194ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2214ppm at 1.2ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 81595ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 8800ppm/day.
2.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 158% at 4500ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 117995ppm (11.8%)
Detection rate is 142ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1491ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 117000ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 1780ppm/day.
7.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 154% at 5000ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 149579ppm. (15.0%)
Detection rate is 639ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2129ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 140873ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 13790ppm/day.
4.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 168% at 5900ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated. reduction?

Brazil detections at 103185ppm. (10.3%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2871ppm at 1.1ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 102888ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is 130ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations are unreported at 3600ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 66970ppm. (6.7%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6028ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 66678ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 123% at 6200ppm/day
- with 54% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 91577ppm (9.2%)
Detection rate is 121ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1994ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 90843ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 3660ppm/day.
3.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 212% at 5100ppm/day
- with 84.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 116793ppm (11.7%)
Detection rate is 35ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2555ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 116550ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 690ppm/day.
5.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 148% at 5500ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29808ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 23ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2256ppm at 1.6ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29649ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 100ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 101% at 1400ppm/day
- with 50% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 49322ppm (4.9%)
Detection rate is 31ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1496ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 3.1% from a 48797ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 570ppm/day.
5.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 42% at 1500ppm/day
- with 24% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 198832ppm (19.9%)
Detection rate is 1826ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 3070ppm at 11.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 186049ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 10240ppm/day.
17.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 125% at 4400ppm/day
- with 59% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24817ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 6ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 336ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24773ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 790ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 87% at 5000ppm/day
- with 31% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 144463ppm (14.4%)
Detection rate is 27ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities at 881ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 144272ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 8180ppm/day.
0.3% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 174% at 1100ppm/day.
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Bulgaria - 17.6ppm/day
Hungary - 16.1ppm/day
Croatia - 16.0ppm/day
Georgia - 15.4ppm/day
Latvia - 15.0ppm/day
Ukraine - 13.4ppm/day
Czechia - 13.2ppm/day
Armenia - 11.4ppm/day
Slovakia - 10.8ppm/day
Bosnia - 10.4ppm/day
Romania - 9.8ppm/day
Lithuania - 9.1ppm/day
Greece - 8.9ppm/day
Slovenia - 8.6ppm/day
Poland - 8.4ppm/day
Russia - 8.2ppm/day
Serbia - 7.6ppm/day
Macedonia - 7.6ppm/day
Estonia - 6.0ppm/day
Austria - 5.9ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 60% in the US,
> Czechia and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> Reporting statistics from Israel exhibited an unexplained retroactive
> reduction (~3%) in accumulated detections, fatalities and vaccinations,
> prior to Nov08.This is possibly a truncation of accumulated figures to
> reflect a 12 month statistical grouping . . . but it doesn't show up
> in any other Johns Hopkins data.
>
> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>
> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa also seem to have turned around.


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 06 Dec 2021 10:35:13 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: legg - Mon, 6 Dec 2021 15:35 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://alturl.com/cdezz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

Comparison charts, as of Nov 30 are available:

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_027b.jpg

Updated Nov 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
or not - with just a reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Dec 06:
US detections are at 147441ppm.(14.7%)
Detection rate is 362ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2368ppm at 5.0ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 144869ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 2530ppm/day
14.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 142% at 3400ppm/day
- with 59% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 47696ppm (4.8%) ~ 362 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 80ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 783ppm at 0.5ppm/day. ~ 382 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 47134ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2280ppm/day
3.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 163% at 6000ppm/day
- with 76% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 84633ppm. (8.5%)
Detection rate is 240ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2223ppm at 1.2ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 82956ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 9100ppm/day.
2.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 163% at 7000ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 119304ppm (11.9%)
Detection rate is 187ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1493ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 117995ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 3560ppm/day.
5.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 158% at 4400ppm/day
- with 71% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 154285ppm. (15.4%)
Detection rate is 672ppm/day and possibly leveling below 700ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2141ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 149579ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 14260ppm/day.
4.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 173% at 6400ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated.

Brazil detections at 103476ppm. (10.3%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2877ppm at 0.9ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 103185ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is 130ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 147% at 4700ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 67250ppm. (6.7%)
Detection rate is 40ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6037ppm at 1.2ppm/day.
FR is 9.1% from a 66970ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 126% at 7500ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 92261ppm (9.2%)
Detection rate is 98ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2004ppm at 1.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 90843ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 3450ppm/day.
2.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 216% at 5800ppm/day
- with 84.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 117105ppm (11.7%)
Detection rate is 45ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2558ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 116793ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 690ppm/day.
6.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 153% at 6600ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 29949ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 20ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2266ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29808ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 90ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 102% at 2300ppm/day
- with 50% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 50493ppm (5.0%)
Detection rate is 167ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1498ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 49322ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 590ppm/day.
28.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 44% at 2300ppm/day
- with 24% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 208934ppm (20.9%)
Detection rate is 1443ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 3139ppm at 9.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 198832ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 10660ppm/day.
13.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 129% at 6200ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24861ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 6ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 340ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24817ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 780ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 91% at 5700ppm/day
- with 33% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 144862ppm (14.5%)
Detection rate is 57ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 883ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 144463ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 9200ppm/day.
0.6% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 175% at 1300ppm/day.
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Hungary - 18.6ppm/day
Croatia - 16.1ppm/day
Bulgaria - 15.6ppm/day
Georgia - 15.0ppm/day
Trinidad and Tobago - 15.0ppm/day
Slovakia - 14.4ppm/day
Ukraine - 11.1ppm/day
Bosnia - 10.1ppm/day
Poland - 10.0ppm/day
Czechia - 9.8ppm/day
Latvia - 9.3ppm/day
Greece - 8.8ppm/day
Lithuania - 8.2ppm/day
Armenia - 8.1ppm/day
Russia - 8.1ppm/day
Slovenia - 7.9ppm/day
Serbia - 6.8ppm/day
Macedonia - 6.5ppm/day
Romania - 6.2ppm/day
Austria - 5.9ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 60% in the US,
> Czechia and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Tue, 14 Dec 2021 11:19:49 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 259
Message-ID: <rtghrglu3u9341bqf3q03f2o6fhpdjpne9@4ax.com>
References: <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com> <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com> <gc9cjg5jlsqu57gc18cj2feq87ujbrpged@4ax.com> <4i0plgps4aqj115kj5l7mvf7hfh678a8at@4ax.com> <pr51oghhnscrbfvp6o92l8orpcsdm1enc9@4ax.com> <4qkhqgp8jme81ss002hi3fg35j5s06oe0a@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Tue, 14 Dec 2021 16:19 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://tiny.cc/cn8muz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Nov 30 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
> Updated Nov 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_027b.jpg

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Dec 13:
US detections are at 150547ppm.(15.1%)
Detection rate is 359ppm/day and possibly leveling below 370ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2395ppm at 3.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 147441ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
US test rate is 4510ppm/day
8.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 146% at 3700ppm/day
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 48591ppm (4.9%) ~ 365 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 109ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 787ppm at 0.5ppm/day. ~ 386 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 47696ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Canada test rate is 2670ppm/day
4.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 166% at 4400ppm/day
- with 77% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 86772ppm. (8.7%)
Detection rate is 283ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2234ppm at 1.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.6% from a 84633ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Italy test rate is 8710ppm/day.
3.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 169% at 7600ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 120984ppm (12.1%)
Detection rate is 240ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1495ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 119304ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Sweden test rate is 3960ppm/day.
6.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 161% at 6800ppm/day
- with 71% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 160324ppm. (16.0%)
Detection rate is 754ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2154ppm at 1.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 154285ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
UK test rate is 16810ppm/day.
4.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 178% at 7000ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

Brazil detections at 103634ppm. (10.4%)
Detection rate is 20ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2881ppm at 0.6ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 103476ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Brazil test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 150% at 3500ppm/day
- with 65% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 67578ppm. (6.8%)
Detection rate is 47ppm/day and possibly leveling below 50ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6048ppm at 1.7ppm/day.
FR is 8.9% from a 67250ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 135% at 6200ppm/day
- with 59% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 92865ppm (9.3%)
Detection rate is 75ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2009ppm at 0.7ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 91751ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Chile test rate is 2950ppm/day.
2.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 220% at 5000ppm/day
- with 85.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 117495ppm (11.7%)
Detection rate is 48ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2560ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 117105ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Argentina test rate is 820ppm/day.
5.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 157% at 5100ppm/day
- with 68% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 30079ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 18ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2277ppm at 1.6ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 29949ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Mexico test rate is 80ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 105% at 3100ppm/day
- with 51% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 52976ppm (5.3%)
Detection rate is 340ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1501ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 50493ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
SA test rate is 1100ppm/day.
31% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 45% at 1800ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 218042ppm (21.8%)
Detection rate is 1217ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 3212ppm at 10.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 208934ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Czech test rate is 9350ppm/day.
13.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 134% at 7000ppm/day
- with 61% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24906ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 6ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 341ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24861ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
India test rate 780ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 96% at 5400ppm/day
- with 37% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 145411ppm (14.5%)
Detection rate is 69ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 884ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 144862ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Israel test rate is 10220ppm/day.
0.7% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 176% at 1000ppm/day.
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Hungary - 18.9ppm/day
Croatia - 13.9ppm/day
Slovakia - 13.5ppm/day
Georgia - 13.3ppm/day
Trinidad and Tobago - 12.8ppm/day
Czechia - 10.7ppm/day
Poland - 10.6ppm/day
Bulgaria - 9.9ppm/day
Ukraine - 9.6ppm/day
Bosnia - 9.6ppm/day
Greece - 8.7ppm/day
Russia - 7.8ppm/day
Latvia - 7.6ppm/day
Slovenia - 7.3ppm/day
Lithuania - 6.8ppm/day
Armenia - 6.2ppm/day
Austria - 5.9ppm/day
Macedonia - 5.6ppm/day
Serbia - 5.3ppm/day
Germany - 5.1ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled below 60% in the US
> and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 20 Dec 2021 13:02:39 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 273
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 by: legg - Mon, 20 Dec 2021 18:02 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://tiny.cc/cn8muz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Nov 30 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
> Updated Nov 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_027b.jpg

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Dec 20:
US detections are at 152732ppm.(15.3%)
Detection rate is 392ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2422ppm at 3.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 150547ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 1.0%
US test rate is 3890ppm/day
10.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 149% at 3200ppm/day
- with 61% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 49633ppm (5.0%) ~ 371 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 179ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 791ppm at 0.5ppm/day. ~ 384 days behind the US.
FR is 1.7% from a 48591ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.6% .
Canada test rate is 3030ppm/day
5.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 169% at 6300ppm/day
- with 77% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 89273ppm. (8.9%)
Detection rate is 387ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2247ppm at 1.9ppm/day.
FR is 2.6% from a 86772ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.8% .
Italy test rate is 9890ppm/day.
3.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 173% at 8500ppm/day
- with 74% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 123117ppm (12.3%)
Detection rate is 305ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1499ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 120984ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.3% .
Sweden test rate is 4860ppm/day.
6.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 167% at 6500ppm/day
- with 72% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 166890ppm. (16.7%)
Detection rate is 1138ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2160ppm at 1.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 154285ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.2% .
UK test rate is 18810ppm/day.
6.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 183% at 11200ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

Brazil detections at 103806ppm. (10.4%)
Detection rate is 25ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2887ppm at 0.9ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 103634ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 2.3% .
Brazil test rate is 30ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 151% at 3200ppm/day
- with 66% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 67906ppm. (6.8%)
Detection rate is 47ppm/day and possibly leveling below 60ppm/day.
Fatalities are 6062ppm at 2.0ppm/day.
FR is 8.9% from a 67578ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 4.4% .
Peru test rate is 390ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 139% at 7100ppm/day
- with 61% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 93262ppm (9.3%)
Detection rate is 67ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2023ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 92389ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 1.5% .
Chile test rate is 3000ppm/day.
2.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 223% at 5300ppm/day
- with 85.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 118182ppm (11.8%)
Detection rate is 98ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2563ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 117495ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.9% .
Argentina test rate is 880ppm/day.
11.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 160% at 5900ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 30189ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 17ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2286ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 30079ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 5.9% .
Mexico test rate is 80ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 107% at 4700ppm/day
- with 51% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 55096ppm (5.5%)
Detection rate is 334ppm/day and possibly leveling below 350ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1505ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 3.0% from a 52976ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.2% .
SA test rate is 1220ppm/day.
27% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 46% at 1400ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 224088ppm (22.4%)
Detection rate is 919ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 3284ppm at 10.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 218042ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.7% .
Czech test rate is 8590ppm/day.
10.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 138% at 6800ppm/day
- with 61% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24937ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 5ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 343ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24906ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 3.3% .
India test rate 850ppm/day.
0.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 97% at 5400ppm/day
- with 39% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 145893ppm (14.6%)
Detection rate is 81ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 886ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 144862ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.4% .
Israel test rate is 10220ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 177% at 1700ppm/day.
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Trinidad and Tobago - 17.6ppm/day
Slovakia - 17.3ppm/day
Hungary - 16.3ppm/day
Croatia - 12.7ppm/day
Georgia - 12.2ppm/day
Poland - 11.4ppm/day
Bulgaria - 11.3ppm/day
Czechia - 10.3ppm/day
Bosnia - 8.9ppm/day
Greece - 8.9ppm/day
Santa Lucia - 7.8ppm/day
Lithuania - 7.7ppm/day
Ukraine - 7.5ppm/day
Russia - 7.4ppm/day
Slovenia - 6.1ppm/day
Macedonia - 5.7ppm/day
Latvia - 5.3ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled around 60% in the US
and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

The increased transmissibility of omicron variants have contributed
to the rise in detections, world-wide, after Nov 2021. So far, no
increase in mortality is associated with this variant.

> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 27 Dec 2021 12:07:15 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
Lines: 269
Message-ID: <egsjsgd48t64i89cmtugub39sr70df07nd@4ax.com>
References: <h7nb6ghieihm4apcr89meab91ochshuee2@4ax.com> <j7j09g9scnbt36up5iidf1tef0shcsocsk@4ax.com> <ppqibgdqa2kcs6dr4fd064st0rlu6gd9nb@4ax.com> <0b86eg1s60nru5m1i8no5qmv674km2ipl1@4ax.com> <j6gggglco2l0o8vocov4gvai653136lu27@4ax.com> <kh2qig9tl6afa4j9cp32iffsaelvln25k4@4ax.com> <gc9cjg5jlsqu57gc18cj2feq87ujbrpged@4ax.com> <4i0plgps4aqj115kj5l7mvf7hfh678a8at@4ax.com> <pr51oghhnscrbfvp6o92l8orpcsdm1enc9@4ax.com> <4qkhqgp8jme81ss002hi3fg35j5s06oe0a@4ax.com>
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 by: legg - Mon, 27 Dec 2021 17:07 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://tiny.cc/cn8muz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Nov 30 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
> Updated Nov 30 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_027b.jpg

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Dec 27:
US detections are at 157040ppm.(15.7%)
Detection rate is 596ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2453ppm at 4.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 152732ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 1.2%
US test rate is 4520ppm/day
13.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 151% at 2600ppm/day
- with 61% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 52428ppm (5.2%) ~ 376 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 399ppm/day and rising to exceed testing capacity.
Fatalities are 793ppm at 0.4ppm/day. ~ 398 days behind the US.
FR is 1.6% from a 49633ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.7% .
Canada test rate is 3650ppm/day
10.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 167% (?) at 8000ppm/day
- with 77% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 93549ppm. (9.4%)
Detection rate is 611ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2263ppm at 2.3ppm/day.
FR is 2.5% from a 89273ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.8% .
Italy test rate is 10930ppm/day.
5.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 179% at 6500ppm/day
- with 74% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 125324ppm (12.5%)
Detection rate is 373ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1502ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.2% from a 123117ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.6% .
Sweden test rate is 5500ppm/day.
6.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 171% at 6500ppm/day
- with 72% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 172901ppm. (17.3%)
Detection rate is 1472ppm/day and rising to exceed testing capacity.
Fatalities are 2169ppm at 1.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 166890ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.2% .
UK test rate is 19470ppm/day.
7.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 192% at 13700ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated.

Brazil detections at 103904ppm. (10.4%)
Detection rate is 17ppm/day and leveling below 40ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2891ppm at 0.5ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 103806ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 2.3% .
Brazil test rate is 30ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 154% at 3100ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 68311ppm. (6.8%)
Detection rate is 65ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 6070ppm at 1.4ppm/day.
FR is 8.9% from a 67906ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 3.3% .
Peru test rate is unreported.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 145% at 5100ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 93704ppm (9.4%)
Detection rate is 63ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2032ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 92885ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 1.8% .
Chile test rate is 2990ppm/day.
2.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 225% at 4300ppm/day
- with 85.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 119722ppm (12.0%)
Detection rate is 220ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2566ppm at 0.4ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 118182ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.5% .
Argentina test rate is 1070ppm/day.
20.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 164% at 4500ppm/day
- with 70% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 30325ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 22ppm/day and leveling below 30ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2284ppm at 1.3ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 30189ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 6.3% .
Mexico test rate is 80ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 114% at 8800ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 56853ppm (5.7%)
Detection rate is 251ppm/day and possibly leveling below 300ppm/day.
Fatalities are 1513ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 55096ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.3% .
SA test rate is 970ppm/day.
26% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 46% at 700ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 228051ppm (22.8%)
Detection rate is 566ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 3333ppm at 7.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 224088ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.6% .
Czech test rate is 8130ppm/day.
7.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 142% at 4000ppm/day
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 24970ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 5ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 344ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24937ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 4.8% .
India test rate 870ppm/day.
0.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 101% at 4200ppm/day
- with 40% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 146921ppm (14.7%)
Detection rate is 146ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 887ppm at 0.1ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 145893ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.2% .
Israel test rate is 10650ppm/day.
0.8% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 178% at 2200ppm/day.
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Trinidad and Tobago - 19.0ppm/day
Georgia - 15.8ppm/day
Croatia - 12.0ppm/day
Poland - 10.7ppm/day
Bulgaria - 10.2ppm/day
Lithuania - 8.9ppm/day
Greece - 7.4ppm/day
Czechia - 7.0ppm/day
Russia - 6.7ppm/day
Bosnia - 6.5ppm/day
Ukraine - 6.3ppm/day
Macedonia - 6.1ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled around 60% in the US
> and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> The increased transmissibility of omicron variants have contributed
> to the rise in detections, world-wide, after Nov 2021. So far, no
> increase in mortality is associated with this variant.

> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>


Click here to read the complete article
Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19

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From: leg...@nospam.magma.ca (legg)
Newsgroups: sci.electronics.design
Subject: Re: 12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19
Date: Mon, 03 Jan 2022 17:19:44 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: legg - Mon, 3 Jan 2022 22:19 UTC

> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://tiny.cc/cn8muz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Nov 30 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
Updated Dec 31 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_028b.jpg

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

As of Jan03:
US detections are at 165529ppm.(16.5%)
Detection rate is 1212ppm/day and rising to exceed testing capacity.
Fatalities are 2481ppm at 3.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.6% from a 157040ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
FR ten day short term is 0.7%
US test rate is 4120ppm/day
29.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 153% at 1300ppm/day
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 58553ppm (5.9%) ~ 371 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 875ppm/day and rising to exceed testing capacity.
Fatalities are 799ppm at 0.7ppm/day. ~ 400 days behind the US.
FR is 1.5% from a 52428ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 0.2% .
Canada test rate is 4030ppm/day
21.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 181% at 5900ppm/day
- with 77% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 104826ppm. (10.5%)
Detection rate is 1611ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2280ppm at 2.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.4% from a 93549ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 0.5% .
Italy test rate is 13430ppm/day.
12.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 184% at 7000ppm/day
- with 74% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 129406ppm (12.9%)
Detection rate is 583ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 1507ppm at 0.6ppm/day.
FR is 1.2% from a 125324ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 0.2% .
Sweden test rate is 4880ppm/day.
11.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations are at 173% at 2800ppm/day
- with 73% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 194450ppm. (19.4%)
Detection rate is 2823ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2184ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 172901ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 0.2% .
UK test rate is 20600ppm/day.
13.7% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 195% at 3600ppm/day
- with 70% fully vaccinated.

Brazil detections at 104197ppm. (10.4%)
Detection rate is 36ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2894ppm at 0.5ppm/day
FR is 2.8% from an 103904ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 3.1% .
Brazil test rate is 230ppm/day.
15.6 of current tests are positive%.
Vaccinations at 155% at 1700ppm/day
- with 67% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 68981ppm. (6.9%)
Detection rate is 96ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 6077ppm at 1.1ppm/day.
FR is 8.9% from a 68311ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 1.9% .
Peru test rate is 330ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 148% at 4900ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 94226ppm (9.4%)
Detection rate is 75ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2038ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.2% from a 93262ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 1.5% .
Chile test rate is 2540ppm/day.
3.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 230% at 5700ppm/day
- with 86.0% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 124873ppm (12.5%)
Detection rate is 736ppm/day and rising to exceed testing capacity.
Fatalities are 2570ppm at 0.5ppm/day.
FR is 2.1% from a 119722ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 0.8% .
Argentina test rate is 2110ppm/day.
34.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 168% at 6000ppm/day
- with 72% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 30622ppm (3.1%)
Detection rate is 42ppm/day and rising to exceed testing capacity.
Fatalities are 2299ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 7.6% from a 30325ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 5.8% .
Mexico test rate is 120ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 114% at 400ppm/day
- with 56% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 57833ppm (5.8%)
Detection rate is 140ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1519ppm at 1.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 56853ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 0.4% .
SA test rate is 650ppm/day.
21.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 47% at 400ppm/day
- with 26% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 231416ppm (23.1%)
Detection rate is 481ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 3377ppm at 6.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 228051ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 1.7% .
Czech test rate is 4570ppm/day.
10.5% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 144% at 3500ppm/day
- with 62% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 25063ppm (2.5%)
Detection rate is 13ppm/day and level below 20ppm/day.
Fatalities at 346ppm at 0.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 24970ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 4.1% .
India test rate 800ppm/day.
1.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 104% at 4100ppm/day
- with 44% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 150157ppm (15.0%)
Detection rate is 464ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities at 887ppm at 0.0ppm/day.
FR is 0.6% from a 146921ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR ten day short term is 0.0% .
Israel test rate is 14010ppm/day.
3.3% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 180% at 2400ppm/day.
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Trinidad and Tobago - 14.9ppm/day
Georgia - 14.1ppm/day
Poland - 12.3ppm/day
Croatia - 9.9ppm/day
Bulgaria - 9.4ppm/day
Slovakia - 7.9ppm
Bosnia - 7.6ppm/day
Lithuania - 7.1ppm/day
Greece - 6.9ppm/day
Czechia - 6.3ppm/day
Russia - 6.0ppm/day
Latvia - 5.8ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled around 60% in the US
> and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> The increased transmissibility of omicron variants have contributed
> to the rise in detections, world-wide, after Nov 2021. So far, no
> increase in mortality is associated with this variant.

> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>


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