> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://tiny.cc/cn8muz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

Comparison charts, as of Jan 31 are available:

http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
Updated Jan 31 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_029c.jpg

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

A possible peaking in covid-omicron detections may be indicated.

Past sero-immunity studies suggest that a 30% detection record
could indicate widespread (>80%) penetration in a population.

As of Feb07:
US detections are at 229824ppm.(23.0%)
Detection rate is 880ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2711ppm at 7.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.2% from a 223279ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.4%.
US test rate is 4200ppm/day
21.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 164% at 1000ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 82052ppm (8.2%) ~ 363 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 337ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 912ppm at 2.7ppm/day. ~ 418 days behind the US.
FR is 1.1% from a 79695ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.8%.
Canada test rate is 2070ppm/day
16.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 207% at 4600ppm/day
- with 80% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 192517ppm. (19.3%)
Detection rate is 1648ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2464ppm at 6.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 180783ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.2%.
Italy test rate is 14250ppm/day.
11.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 216% at 6000ppm/day.
- with 77% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 225172ppm (22.5%)
Detection rate is 3056ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1592ppm at 4.6ppm/day.
FR is 0.8% from a 203782ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.1%.
Sweden test rate is 7660ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 192% at 4900ppm/day
- with 74% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 261660ppm. (26.2%)
Detection rate is 1024ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2323ppm at 3.2ppm/day.
FR is 1.0% from a 242049ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.2%.
UK test rate is 17510ppm/day.
5.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 203% at 1100ppm/day
- with 71% fully vaccinated.

Brazil detections at 124052ppm. (12.4%)
Detection rate is 792ppm/day and rising to exceed test capacity.
Fatalities are 2956ppm at 3.6ppm/day
FR is 2.5% from an 118511ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.5% .
Brazil test rate is 350ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 172% at 5500ppm/day
- with 71% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 100826ppm. (10.1%)
Detection rate is 596ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 6205ppm at 6.3ppm/day.
FR is 6.4% from a 96656ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.4% .
Peru test rate is 410ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 169% at 2700ppm/day
- with 69% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 123453ppm (12.3%)
Detection rate is 1741ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 2081ppm at 2.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.9% from a 111269ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.2% .
Chile test rate is 6490ppm/day.
26.8% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 244% at 2500ppm/day
- with 88% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 188350ppm (18.8%)
Detection rate is 798ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2690ppm at 5.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.5% from a 182766ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.3% .
Argentina test rate is 1160ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 195% at 6600ppm/day
- with 77% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 39547ppm (4.0%)
Detection rate is 243ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2376ppm at 4.0ppm/day.
FR is 6.3% from a 37847ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 1.3% .
Mexico test rate is 170ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 128% at 4500ppm/day.
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 60357ppm (6.0%)
Detection rate is 48ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1596ppm at 1.9ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 60022ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 3.8% .
SA test rate is 900ppm/day.
5.3% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 50% at 900ppm/day
- with 28% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 301604ppm (30.2%)
Detection rate is 3265ppm/day and rising.
Fatalities are 3492ppm at 3.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.3% from a 278747ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.1% .
Czech test rate is 12490ppm/day.
26.1% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 160% at 2000ppm/day
- with 63% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 30337ppm (3.0%)
Detection rate is 99ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 361ppm at 0.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.2% from a 29641ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.4% .
India test rate 1310ppm/day.
7.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 122% at 4000ppm/day
- with 52% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 344047ppm (34.4%)
Detection rate is 5634ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 988ppm at 7.0ppm/day.
FR is 0.4% from a 238143ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.1% .
Israel test rate is 22450ppm/day.
25.0% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 193% at 800ppm/day.
- with 66% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Bosnia - 15.9ppm/day
Macedonia - 13.4ppm/day
Croatia - 12.6ppm/day
Bulgaria - 12.6ppm/day
Greece - 10.0ppm/day
Georgia - 9.6ppm/day
Serbia - 8.8ppm/day
Slovenia - 8.1ppm/day
Hungary - 7.6ppm/day
USA - 7.4ppm/day
Paraguay - 7.4ppm/day
Uruguay - 7.3ppm/day
Israel - 7.0ppm/day
Lithuania - 6.7ppm/day
Trinidad and Tobago - 6.6ppm/day
Latvia - 6.4ppm/day
Peru - 6.3ppm/day
Italy - 6.2ppm/day
Surinam - 5.6ppm/day
Tunisia - 5.4ppm/day
Argentina - 5.3ppm/day
Columbia - 5.1ppm/day
Portugal - 5.1ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled around 60% in the US
> and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> The increased transmissibility of omicron variants have contributed
> to the rise in detections, world-wide, after Nov 2021. So far, no
> increase in mortality is associated with this variant.

> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa had also turned around until the
> recent influences of the omicron variant. So far there is no
> corresponding increase in fatalities.

RL