> Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
> efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
> Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
> at Our World in Data:

> http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

>
> A 100ppm daily detection rate would, in one year, result in
> an approximately 4% penetration within a population.
>
> Testing of blood donor samples in Quebec suggests that covid-19
> antibodies are present in the local population at 3x positive
> virus detection test rate, in eaerly 2020.

> Testing for antibodies in India in May/Jun 2021, indicated that
> Covid 19 exposure was present in 67% of test subjects. This
> compared to a 7% figure recorded in the fall of 2020. A daily
> infection rate in excess of 2000ppm is suggested by this change.

> http://tiny.cc/cn8muz

>
> multiply ppm by population (in millions) for real numbers.
> China - 1397 million
> Iceland - 0.36 million
> US - 330 million
> Canada - 37 million
> Italy - 60 million
> Sweden - 10 million
> UK - 66 million
> Brazil - 210 million
> Peru - 32 million
> Chile - 19 million
> Argentina - 45 million
> Mexico - 127 million
> South Africa - 58 million
> Czech Republic - 10.7 million
> Israel - 10 million
> India - 1391 million
>
> Median age in Germany and Italy is 45-46yrs.
> Median age in Canada, UK and Sweden is 40-41yrs.
> Median age in US, China and Russia is 38.7, 38.4 and 37.6yrs respectively.
> Median age in Chile and Brazil is 33.7 and 31.3yrs respectively.
> Median age in Israel is 30.4yrs.
> Median age in Peru and Mexico is 27.5yrs.
> Median age in India is 26.8yrs.
> Median age in South Africa is 25yrs.
>

> Comparison charts, as of Jan 31 are available:

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg

> Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
> Updated Jan 31 to include a second year trend or 'season'.

> http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_029c.jpg

> Looks like everyone's going to get it, eventually, vaccinated
> or not - just reduced mortality amongst the vaccinated.

> A possible peaking in covid-omicron detections may be indicated.

> Past sero-immunity studies suggest that a 30% detection record
> could indicate widespread (>80%) penetration in a population.

As of Feb21:
US detections are at 235733ppm.(23.6%)
Detection rate is 300ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2810ppm at 6.5ppm/day.
FR is 1.2% from a 233513ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 1.0%.
US test rate is unreported (~3350ppm/day)
~9.0% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 166% at 600ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

Canada detections at 85075ppm (8.5%) ~ 364 days behind the US.
Detection rate at 181ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 946ppm at 2.0ppm/day. ~ 431 days behind the US.
FR is 1.1% from a 83810ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.7%.
Canada test rate is 1560ppm/day
5.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 211% at 2200ppm/day
- with 81% fully vaccinated.

Italy detections at 206568ppm. (20.7%)
Detection rate is 862ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2534ppm at 4.7ppm/day.
FR is 1.2% from a 200533ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.3%.
Italy test rate is 8960ppm/day.
9.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 220% at 2600ppm/day.
- with 78% fully vaccinated.

Sweden detections at 238466ppm (23.8%)
Detection rate is 359ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1659ppm at 4.9ppm/day.
FR is 0.7% from a 235954ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.1%.
Sweden test rate is 2100ppm/day.
17.1% of tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 199% at 3500ppm/day
- with 74% fully vaccinated.

UK detections at 273491ppm. (27.3%)
Detection rate is 692ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2356ppm at 2.1ppm/day.
FR is 0.9% from a 269080ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.2%.
UK test rate is 13280ppm/day.
5.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 204% at 900ppm/day
- with 72% fully vaccinated.

Brazil detections at 131875ppm. (13.2%)
Detection rate is 484ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 3012ppm at 4.0ppm/day
FR is 2.3% from a 128475ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.6% .
Brazil test rate is 1300ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 178% at 4900ppm/day
- with 72% fully vaccinated.

Peru detections at 104798ppm. (10.5%)
Detection rate is 216ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 6279ppm at 6.0ppm/day.
FR is 6.0% from a 103290ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 1.2% .
Peru test rate is 2190ppm/day.
9.9% of tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 172% at 2200ppm/day
- with 70% fully vaccinated

Chile detections at 148414ppm (14.8%)
Detection rate is 1710ppm/day and possibly leveling below 1900ppm/day.
Fatalities are 2152ppm at 5.9ppm/day.
FR is 1.7% from a 123453ppm detection recorded 14 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.3% .
Chile test rate is 5820ppm/day.
29.4% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 248% at 3700ppm/day
- with 89% fully vaccinated.

Argentina detections at 193561ppm (19.4%)
Detection rate is 291ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2747ppm at 3.8ppm/day.
FR is 1.4% from a 191523ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.7% .
Argentina test rate is 840ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 201% at 4800ppm/day
- with 78% fully vaccinated.

Mexico detections at 41558ppm (4.2%)
Detection rate is 142ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 2423ppm at 3.3ppm/day.
FR is 6.0% from a 40563ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 1.8% .
Mexico test rate is 110ppm/day.
No test positivity rate is practical.
Vaccinations at 133% at 5500ppm/day.
- with 60% fully vaccinated.

South Africa detections at 60933ppm (6.1%)
Detection rate is 40ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 1643ppm at 4.0ppm/day.
FR is 2.7% from a 60654ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 8.9%.
SA test rate is 490ppm/day.
8.2% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 52% at 1100ppm/day
- with 29% fully vaccinated.(a rounding error?)

Czech detections at 326920ppm (32.7%)
Detection rate is 1463ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities are 3564ppm at 4.4ppm/day.
FR is 1.1% from a 316680ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.2% .
Czech test rate is 7460ppm/day.
19.6% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 161% at 800ppm/day
- with 64% fully vaccinated.

India detections at 30744ppm (3.1%)
Detection rate is 18ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 368ppm at 0.3ppm/day.
FR is 1.2% from a 30620ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.5% .
India test rate 960ppm/day.
1.9% of current tests are positive.
Vaccinations at 125% at 2900ppm/day
- with 55% fully vaccinated.

Israel detections at 382398ppm (38.2%)
Detection rate is 1949ppm/day and falling.
Fatalities at 1073ppm at 6.6ppm/day.
FR is 0.3% from a 368754ppm detection recorded 7 days previously.
Case FR short term is currently 0.2% .
Israel test rate is 11760ppm/day.
16.6% of current tests are positive
Vaccinations at 193% at 400ppm/day.
- with 66% fully vaccinated.

Fatality rate hotspots (>5ppm/day) :

Bulgaria - 13.2ppm/day
Bosnia - 12.2ppm/day
Croatia - 12.0ppm/day
Greenland - 12.0ppm/day
Georgia - 10.8ppm/day
Hungary - 10.5ppm/day
Macedonia - 10.4ppm/day
Serbia - 8.8ppm/day
Slovenia - 8.4ppm/day
Greece - 7.9ppm/day
Armenia - 7.5ppm/day
Lithuania - 7.3ppm/day
Romania - 7.0ppm/day
Paraguay - 6.9ppm/day
Israel - 6.6ppm/day
USA - 6.5ppm/day
Poland - 6.4ppm/day
Latvia - 6.4ppm/day
Spain - 6.1ppm/day
Cyprus - 6.0ppm/day
Denmark - 6.0ppm/day
Ukraine - 5.9ppm/day
Chile - 5.9ppm/day
Czechia - 5.4ppm/day
Estonia - 5.3ppm/day
Russia - 5.1ppm/day

> Doses applied in Israel, Chile and other highly vaccinated countries
> appear to be providing 3rd dose booster reinforcement, without
> contributing to completed vaccinations.

> Full vaccination levels are apparently stalled around 60% in the US
> and other regions with signifigant reactionary movements.

> The increased transmissibility of omicron variants have contributed
> to the rise in detections, world-wide, after Nov 2021. So far, no
> increase in mortality is associated with this variant.

> Chile participated in Phase 3 trials for AstraZeneca,
> Johnson & Johnson, Sinovac and CanSino. Chile has contracts
> with AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and Sinovac.
> Sinovac is their regular supplier of seasonal flu vaccine.
> Sinovac's 'CoronaVac' vaccine does not require sub-zero storage
> temperatures. About 60% of Chile's contracted 80 million doses
> are from Sinovac.
>
> Chile maintains a Public Health service database that includes
> regular vaccination scheduling. Using these resources alone
> allowed vaccination rates as high as 1 million doses per week
> to be delivered as early as mid-February. Approval of vaccine
> use was based on published Phase 1 and Phase 2 reporting.
>

> Reducing detections and fatalities in unvaccinated India/Nepal
> seem to indicate reducing virulence for the delta variant.
> Detection rates in S.Africa had also turned around until the
> recent influences of the omicron variant. So far there is no
> corresponding increase in fatalities.

RL