edell@post.com wrote

The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in
November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics
predicted.

The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to
forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide,
capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the
model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And
it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.

The model has correctly predicted the popular vote in every election since
1948 other than 1968 and 1976 (although two candidates lost the popular vote
but won the presidency in that span, including George W. Bush in 2000 and
Donald Trump in 2016).

The national election model assumes that the economy is still in bad shape
this fall, with unemployment above 13%, real per capita incomes down nearly
6% from a year ago and brief period of falling prices, or deflation.
"The economy would still be in a worse state than at the depth of the Great
Depression," the Oxford Economics report said.

A separate state-based election model run by Oxford Economics that
incorporates local economic trends and gasoline prices predicts Trump will
badly lose the electoral college by a margin of 328 to 210. That model
forecasts that seven battleground states will flip to Democrats: Iowa,
Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/20/business/economy-election-trump-biden-
jobs/index.html

......

THEN he's arrested, charged, convicted, sentenced and imprisoned, where his
chances are slim.

Chronic nym-shifting deranged troll...

--
Busta Capp <trumpnigger@yahoo.com> wrote:

> Path: eternal-september.org!reader02.eternal-september.org!news.mixmin.net!news.neodome.net!.POSTED!not-for-mail
> From: Busta Capp <trumpnigger@yahoo.com>
> Newsgroups: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,alt.atheism,alt.global-warming,soc.retirement,rec.arts.tv,rec.crafts.metalworking
> Subject: Trump, His Supporters, Called "A Disgrace" "Sore Losers" "Terrorists"
> Followup-To: alt.christnet.second-coming.real-soon-now,alt.atheism,alt.rush-limbaugh
> Date: Tue, 27 Apr 2021 22:48:35 -0000 (UTC)
> Organization: Blow Black Men
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> Injection-Date: Tue, 27 Apr 2021 22:48:35 -0000 (UTC)
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> User-Agent: Xnews/2006.08.05
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>
> edell@post.com wrote
>
> The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in
> November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics
> predicted.
>
> The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to
> forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide,
> capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the
> model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And
> it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.
>
> The model has correctly predicted the popular vote in every election since
> 1948 other than 1968 and 1976 (although two candidates lost the popular vote
> but won the presidency in that span, including George W. Bush in 2000 and
> Donald Trump in 2016).
>
> The national election model assumes that the economy is still in bad shape
> this fall, with unemployment above 13%, real per capita incomes down nearly
> 6% from a year ago and brief period of falling prices, or deflation.
> "The economy would still be in a worse state than at the depth of the Great
> Depression," the Oxford Economics report said.
>
> A separate state-based election model run by Oxford Economics that
> incorporates local economic trends and gasoline prices predicts Trump will
> badly lose the electoral college by a margin of 328 to 210. That model
> forecasts that seven battleground states will flip to Democrats: Iowa,
> Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina.
>
> https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/20/business/economy-election-trump-biden-
> jobs/index.html
>
>
>
> .....
>
> THEN he's arrested, charged, convicted, sentenced and imprisoned, where his
> chances are slim.
>
>
>
>
>